WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	64		Excitement	5.5 [104]		MVP	Nneka Ogwumike (LAS): +39.6%
Los Angeles Sparks	66		Comeback	1.4 [138]		LVP	Odyssey Sims (ATL): -19.5%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Crystal Bradford	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.21	-0.00	0.22	0.02	7	47%	0.28	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Candice Dupree	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aari McDonald	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.00	0.07	10	68%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Elizabeth Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Williams	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	22	52%	0.14	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Monique Billings	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tianna Hawkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Hayes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Odyssey Sims	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.03	6	7%	-0.10	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,0.4	0.40	0.00	0.40	0.01	14	59%	0.57	6	-0.17	1	0%	-0.01
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	64%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Nia Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kristi Toliver	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.07	-0.01	5	100%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lauren Cox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Te'a Cooper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.03	-0.04	12	29%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Amanda Zahui B	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	11	38%	-0.01	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAS	WNBA	ATL	LAS	WNBA
this game	16.4	14.9	14.9	83.1	86.8	99.6
season	14.9	15.3		96.5	91.0
opponent	14.9	14.7		96.5	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.4	18.8	15.2	16.3	16.4
LAS	14.4	14.5	13.3	18.0	14.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	6%	91%	2%	1.5%	62.5%	43.3%	0.0%	150.0%
LAS	4%	91%	2%	3.6%	0.0%	52.0%	0.0%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Crystal Bradford	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	1	150%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	7	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Aari McDonald	2	75%	8	69%	0	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	1	100%	21	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	6	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dream	4	62%	60	43%	1	0%	1	150%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	13	58%	0	0%	1	100%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	1	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	4	125%	0	0%	1	0%
Lauren Cox	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Te'a Cooper	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	1	0%	11	32%	0	0%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	10	30%	1	0%	0	0%
Sparks	2	0%	51	52%	1	0%	2	50%