WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	80		Excitement	10.0 [11]		MVP	Brittney Sykes (LAS): +42.6%
Los Angeles Sparks	85		Comeback	7.8 [25]		LVP	Tianna Hawkins (ATL): -11.7%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Candice Dupree	0.21	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.05	0.15	-0.01	11	55%	0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monique Billings	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	8	53%	0.11	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.03
Elizabeth Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	4	82%	0.16	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Crystal Bradford	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	-0.05	0.10	-0.04	11	38%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.07
Courtney Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.17	0.17	-0.01	13	15%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shekinna Stricklen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Odyssey Sims	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.05	0.06	-0.11	-0.01	27	44%	0.05	2	-0.10	5	40%	-0.08
Aari McDonald	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Tianna Hawkins	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.05	0.36	-0.01	17	47%	0.49	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.06
Erica Wheeler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.12,0.12,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28	0.28	0.02	0.25	-0.01	14	53%	0.38	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	-0.00	7	81%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Kristi Toliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.19,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.06	0.15	-0.03	15	34%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Amanda Zahui B	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.01	13	54%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nia Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	71%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Lauren Cox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Te'a Cooper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAS	WNBA	ATL	LAS	WNBA
this game	15.7	14.3	14.9	90.9	95.5	99.6
season	14.9	15.3		96.5	91.0
opponent	14.9	14.7		96.5	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.1	14.9	15.1	18.2	15.7
LAS	12.0	15.9	12.9	16.8	14.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	0%	77%	17%	5.7%	0.0%	39.7%	43.3%	60.0%
LAS	1%	72%	19%	7.5%	0.0%	42.2%	73.3%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	8	50%	2	50%	1	100%
Monique Billings	0	0%	5	80%	3	33%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	3	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Crystal Bradford	0	0%	9	22%	2	125%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	9	0%	1	0%	3	67%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	21	52%	5	20%	1	0%
Aari McDonald	0	0%	5	20%	1	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	68	40%	15	43%	5	60%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	10	40%	6	50%	1	100%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	11	32%	2	125%	1	100%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	6	83%	1	100%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	1	0%	8	12%	3	83%	3	33%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	10	50%	3	67%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	5	80%	0	0%	1	0%
Lauren Cox	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Te'a Cooper	0	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sparks	1	0%	58	42%	15	73%	6	50%