WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	70		Excitement	8.1 [33]		MVP	Nia Coffey (LAS): +21.6%
Los Angeles Sparks	75		Comeback	1.4 [134]		LVP	Danielle Robinson (IND): -27.6%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiffany Mitchell	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	8	46%	0.14	0	0.00	10	100%	0.09
Lindsay Allen	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	54%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Victoria Vivians	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.01	8	56%	0.13	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Teaira McCowan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.09	-0.07	6	60%	0.01	4	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Kelsey Mitchell	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	21	48%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Emma Cannon	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.03	-0.14	0.00	6	36%	-0.10	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jessica Breland	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	4	0%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danielle Robinson	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.28	-0.09	-0.19	-0.01	14	24%	-0.18	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nia Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.12	-0.01	6	60%	0.22	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.02	0.01	11	64%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Te'a Cooper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	5	90%	0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amanda Zahui B	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	59%	0.17	3	-0.12	6	67%	0.01
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	7	75%	0.13	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
Kristi Toliver	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauren Cox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	14	43%	0.06	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Karlie Samuelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAS	WNBA	IND	LAS	WNBA
this game	15.9	14.4	14.9	87.5	96.2	99.6
season	15.8	15.3		94.4	91.0
opponent	14.9	14.2		96.5	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.1	13.7	14.2	20.7	15.9
LAS	13.8	15.6	13.7	14.6	14.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	0%	65%	33%	1.4%	0.0%	43.6%	22.9%	0.0%
LAS	2%	73%	26%	0.0%	100.0%	54.2%	32.4%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	5	20%	3	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	2	50%	3	50%	0	0%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	6	50%	2	75%	0	0%
Teaira McCowan	0	0%	5	60%	1	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	14	54%	7	36%	0	0%
Emma Cannon	0	0%	3	67%	3	0%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	2	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	10	30%	3	0%	1	0%
Fever	0	0%	47	44%	24	23%	1	0%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	3	50%	3	67%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	11	59%	0	0%	0	0%
Te'a Cooper	0	0%	3	67%	2	125%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	6	75%	2	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	6	92%	1	0%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	7	29%	2	0%	0	0%
Lauren Cox	0	0%	2	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	1	100%	10	40%	3	33%	0	0%
Karlie Samuelson	0	0%	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Sparks	1	100%	48	54%	17	32%	0	0%