WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	85		Excitement	11.5 [3]		MVP	Kahleah Copper (CHI): +32.5%
Chicago Sky	87		Comeback	30.9 [10]		LVP	Courtney Vandersloot (CHI): -33.5%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ezi Magbegor	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.13	0.11	-0.07	19	51%	0.31	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Epiphanny Prince	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.07	-0.00	10	65%	0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mercedes Russell	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	71%	0.16	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.05
Kennedy Burke	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Katie Lou Samuelson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephanie Talbot	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jordin Canada	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.01	-0.20	-0.02	9	41%	-0.09	1	-0.10	4	50%	-0.31
Jewell Loyd	-0.25	0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.11,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.25	0.00	-0.27	-0.01	30	37%	-0.25	0	0.00	11	91%	0.06

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.12	0.19	-0.01	15	53%	0.35	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Diamond DeShields	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.00	0.13	-0.03	12	46%	0.21	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Allie Quigley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.02	16	53%	0.24	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Dana Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	4	70%	0.08	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Astou Ndour-Fall	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Azur� Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.02	8	33%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05
Candace Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.12	-0.01	11	50%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.09	-0.24	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	3	-0.27	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CHI	WNBA	SEA	CHI	WNBA
this game	14.5	14.8	14.9	93.4	93.5	99.6
season	14.2	14.5		102.5	100.4
opponent	15.0	15.5		97.3	96.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.7	13.9	14.1	18.8	14.5
CHI	15.6	14.0	15.9	13.9	14.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	0%	60%	36%	4.8%	0.0%	38.0%	43.3%	0.0%
CHI	0%	60%	36%	3.9%	0.0%	53.3%	41.1%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	10	40%	8	62%	1	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	5	80%	4	62%	1	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	4	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Kennedy Burke	0	0%	2	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	8	44%	1	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	15	30%	13	27%	2	0%
Storm	0	0%	50	38%	30	43%	4	0%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	10	45%	5	60%	0	0%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	7	29%	5	60%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	7	86%	7	14%	2	75%
Dana Evans	0	0%	2	75%	2	75%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	2	125%	2	0%	0	0%
Astou Ndour-Fall	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	5	20%	3	67%	0	0%
Candace Parker	0	0%	7	57%	3	33%	1	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Sky	0	0%	46	53%	28	41%	3	50%