WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	89		Excitement	9.3 [17]		MVP	Tina Charles (WAS): +65.6%
Chicago Sky	85		Comeback	9999+ [209]		LVP	Courtney Vandersloot (CHI): -22.6%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tina Charles	0.66	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66	0.18	0.48	0.01	27	56%	0.73	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.02
Theresa Plaisance	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.12	-0.01	12	42%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	-0.01	-0.06	10	52%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Megan Gustafson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.05	-0.02	8	44%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shavonte Zellous	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Atkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.10	0.00	10	58%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.03
Sydney Wiese	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63	0.63	0.19	0.46	0.02	12	77%	0.67	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Candace Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.11	0.01	14	57%	0.27	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.04
Allie Quigley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.01	0.02	12	67%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Diamond DeShields	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruthy Hebard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Astou Ndour-Fall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Azur� Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.14	0.00	9	55%	0.01	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	14	39%	-0.03	4	-0.20	5	60%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	WNBA	WAS	CHI	WNBA
this game	14.9	14.4	14.9	96.7	92.4	99.6
season	15.0	14.5		98.3	100.4
opponent	15.0	14.6		97.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.9	14.9	15.3	16.0	14.9
CHI	15.9	17.6	13.2	11.5	14.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	1%	84%	10%	5.1%	0.0%	50.8%	43.7%	50.0%
CHI	3%	83%	9%	5.1%	50.0%	47.7%	28.6%	75.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tina Charles	0	0%	23	52%	3	50%	1	100%
Theresa Plaisance	1	0%	9	44%	1	0%	1	100%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	8	62%	1	0%	1	0%
Megan Gustafson	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	6	42%	2	50%	0	0%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	8	56%	1	100%	1	0%
Sydney Wiese	0	0%	8	44%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	1	0%	66	51%	8	44%	4	50%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Stefanie Dolson	1	100%	7	57%	2	100%	2	100%
Candace Parker	1	0%	11	59%	1	0%	1	100%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	11	73%	1	0%	0	0%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Ruthy Hebard	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Astou Ndour-Fall	0	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	8	56%	0	0%	1	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	11	45%	3	0%	0	0%
Sky	2	50%	65	48%	7	29%	4	75%