WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	88		Excitement	8.0 [35]		MVP	Courtney Williams (ATL): +35.6%
Seattle Storm	91		Comeback	1.7 [116]		LVP	Odyssey Sims (ATL): -16.3%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Williams	0.36	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.36	0.12	0.22	-0.02	18	56%	0.37	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Crystal Bradford	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.00	15	57%	0.21	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tianna Hawkins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monique Billings	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	3	80%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Elizabeth Williams	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cheyenne Parker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shekinna Stricklen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Chennedy Carter	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	12	35%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Odyssey Sims	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sue Bird	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.11,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.10	0.20	-0.00	12	62%	0.37	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.23	0.23	0.04	0.19	0.00	4	83%	0.34	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.00	7	60%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Katie Lou Samuelson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.05	-0.02	6	67%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	5	83%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kennedy Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	3	83%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mercedes Russell	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Epiphanny Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Breanna Stewart	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	11	35%	-0.06	1	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SEA	WNBA	ATL	SEA	WNBA
this game	14.5	13.9	14.9	104.8	109.6	99.6
season	14.9	14.2		96.5	102.5
opponent	15.5	14.7		96.7	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.7	16.0	14.5	14.0	14.5
SEA	14.3	13.3	12.8	15.3	13.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	0%	83%	15%	1.3%	0.0%	52.3%	58.3%	0.0%
SEA	0%	82%	15%	3.2%	0.0%	57.8%	72.2%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	12	46%	5	90%	1	0%
Crystal Bradford	0	0%	11	55%	4	62%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	6	83%	1	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	8	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	4	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Chennedy Carter	0	0%	12	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	6	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	65	52%	12	58%	1	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sue Bird	0	0%	8	56%	4	75%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	0	0%	2	100%	2	50%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	7	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	5	90%	0	0%	0	0%
Kennedy Burke	0	0%	2	50%	1	150%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	5	80%	0	0%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	3	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	10	30%	1	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	51	58%	9	72%	2	50%