WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	87		Excitement	7.8 [42]		MVP	Tina Charles (WAS): +55.6%
Seattle Storm	83		Comeback	2.9 [68]		LVP	Theresa Plaisance (WAS): -7.1%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tina Charles	0.56	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.56	0.30	0.22	-0.03	25	64%	0.57	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03
Leilani Mitchell	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.3	0.18	0.12	0.00	13	68%	0.33	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Ariel Atkins	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.07	-0.04	12	42%	0.18	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Stella Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shavonte Zellous	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Wiese	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Megan Gustafson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theresa Plaisance	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	15	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.3	0.30	0.21	0.04	-0.05	18	61%	0.30	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Candice Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	7	62%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Breanna Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.01	12	57%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.07
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	42%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mercedes Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Katie Lou Samuelson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sue Bird	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.07	-0.02	9	39%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Epiphanny Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SEA	WNBA	WAS	SEA	WNBA
this game	16.6	15.3	14.9	114.5	112.2	99.6
season	15.0	14.2		98.3	102.5
opponent	15.5	14.6		96.7	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.9	17.3	14.5	19.0	16.6
SEA	17.1	15.0	14.8	14.3	15.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	0%	70%	30%	0.0%	0.0%	55.6%	52.2%	0.0%
SEA	0%	68%	30%	2.8%	0.0%	59.4%	35.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tina Charles	0	0%	19	55%	6	100%	0	0%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	8	69%	5	60%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	10	35%	2	75%	0	0%
Stella Johnson	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Sydney Wiese	0	0%	5	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Megan Gustafson	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	7	50%	8	19%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	54	56%	23	52%	0	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	14	64%	3	50%	1	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	4	50%	3	67%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	8	56%	3	33%	1	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	1	100%	2	50%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	2	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	6	67%	2	50%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	4	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	6	58%	3	0%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	48	59%	21	36%	2	0%