WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	93		Excitement	8.5 [21]		MVP	Ariel Atkins (WAS): +60.1%
Washington Mystics	96		Comeback	8.7 [24]		LVP	Sydney Wiese (WAS): -19.0%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tianna Hawkins	0.51	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.51	0.17	0.34	-0.01	10	71%	0.51	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Tiffany Hayes	0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	8	84%	0.22	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Cheyenne Parker	0.08	0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Aari McDonald	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	3	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Elizabeth Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Monique Billings	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Odyssey Sims	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.03	0.13	-0.14	0.02	13	69%	0.15	4	-0.18	6	67%	-0.07
Crystal Bradford	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Williams	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.14	-0.02	17	29%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ariel Atkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.46,0.54,0.6	0.60	0.26	0.34	-0.00	15	80%	0.76	4	-0.16	10	90%	0.06
Theresa Plaisance	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.41	0.41	0.27	0.17	0.02	16	78%	0.45	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Leilani Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.11	0.16	-0.00	7	79%	0.29	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.09	0.00	7	53%	0.15	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.02
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shavonte Zellous	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	5	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Stella Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Wiese	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	9	33%	-0.02	3	-0.17	3	67%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	WNBA	ATL	WAS	WNBA
this game	13.5	13.3	14.9	103.3	107.9	99.6
season	14.9	15.0		96.5	98.3
opponent	14.6	14.7		103.0	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.9	12.4	14.0	14.8	13.5
WAS	12.5	14.3	13.2	13.0	13.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	0%	64%	33%	2.9%	0.0%	60.0%	47.8%	0.0%
WAS	0%	73%	25%	1.5%	0.0%	56.1%	64.7%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	3	33%	7	79%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	7	71%	1	150%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Aari McDonald	0	0%	1	0%	1	100%	1	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	8	100%	5	20%	0	0%
Crystal Bradford	0	0%	4	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	11	36%	5	20%	1	0%
Dream	0	0%	45	60%	23	48%	2	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	10	60%	5	110%	0	0%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	11	91%	4	37%	1	100%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	4	62%	3	100%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	4	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	8	56%	0	0%	0	0%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	4	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Stella Johnson	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sydney Wiese	0	0%	8	31%	1	0%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	49	56%	17	65%	1	100%