WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	102		Excitement	10.8 [7]		MVP	Jewell Loyd (SEA): +64.8%
Seattle Storm	105		Comeback	4.5 [39]		LVP	Katie Lou Samuelson (SEA): -15.5%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allisha Gray	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.03	0.30	0.00	13	50%	0.38	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Marina Mabrey	0.20	0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.21	-0.02	-0.02	17	71%	0.31	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Arike Ogunbowale	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12	0.15	-0.02	0.00	20	54%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Satou Sabally	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.33,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	16	50%	0.23	3	-0.21	4	50%	-0.03
Bella Alarie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyasha Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	5	30%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charli Collier	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chelsea Dungee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isabelle Harrison	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	12	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Moriah Jefferson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	7	43%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0,0.65	0.65	0.15	0.49	-0.00	11	93%	0.99	8	-0.34	5	100%	0.03
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.25	0.01	0.00	12	84%	0.36	1	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.15	0.01	18	48%	0.24	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.04
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mercedes Russell	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.18	2	-0.12	6	67%	-0.02
Candice Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sue Bird	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	4	62%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Epiphanny Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Katie Lou Samuelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	6	0%	-0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	WNBA	DAL	SEA	WNBA
this game	14.7	13.2	14.9	105.2	109.4	99.6
season	15.5	14.2		100.6	102.5
opponent	15.5	14.7		96.7	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.6	14.8	14.5	13.9	14.7
SEA	12.3	13.7	13.4	14.2	13.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	1%	70%	23%	6.2%	100.0%	53.0%	40.9%	50.0%
SEA	3%	68%	22%	6.9%	0.0%	59.2%	53.1%	70.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	6	33%	5	40%	2	100%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	11	82%	5	60%	1	0%
Arike Ogunbowale	0	0%	13	69%	7	29%	0	0%
Satou Sabally	0	0%	10	50%	4	50%	2	50%
Bella Alarie	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	5	30%	0	0%	0	0%
Charli Collier	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Dungee	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Isabelle Harrison	1	100%	10	30%	1	0%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	1	0%
Wings	1	100%	67	53%	22	41%	6	50%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jewell Loyd	1	0%	6	100%	2	75%	2	125%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	10	90%	1	100%	1	0%
Breanna Stewart	1	0%	13	35%	2	100%	2	50%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	3	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	5	60%	1	100%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	3	83%	1	0%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	2	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	4	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Storm	2	0%	49	59%	16	53%	5	70%