WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	84		Excitement	10.1 [10]		MVP	Napheesa Collier (MIN): +92.6%
Minnesota Lynx	86		Comeback	5.5 [32]		LVP	Monique Billings (ATL): -16.6%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Crystal Bradford	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.18	0.18	-0.00	6	100%	0.35	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Hayes	0.21	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.21	0.03	0.15	-0.02	17	57%	0.42	6	-0.21	6	83%	0.01
Aari McDonald	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.12	0.13	-0.01	-0.00	12	60%	0.22	1	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Elizabeth Williams	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.01	0.07	-0.05	1	33%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Tianna Hawkins	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	4	62%	0.15	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Odyssey Sims	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Cheyenne Parker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Courtney Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	18	37%	0.06	3	-0.20	5	60%	-0.03
Monique Billings	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	3	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Napheesa Collier	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.42,0.93	0.93	0.25	0.69	0.01	12	70%	0.96	1	-0.03	13	77%	0.03
Crystal Dangerfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.3	0.30	0.08	0.21	0.00	6	76%	0.49	3	-0.20	5	80%	0.02
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.05	0.19	-0.02	7	78%	0.37	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.07
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.06	0.01	13	65%	0.15	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Shepard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.09	0	0%	0.00	3	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.12	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Damiris Dantas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	8	44%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.05
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	WNBA	ATL	MIN	WNBA
this game	15.2	13.1	14.9	96.6	104.9	99.6
season	14.9	14.5		96.5	101.2
opponent	15.1	14.7		97.2	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.9	15.2	16.6	15.3	15.2
MIN	13.1	13.4	14.2	11.8	13.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	0%	79%	16%	5.7%	0.0%	49.1%	63.6%	50.0%
MIN	0%	77%	23%	0.0%	0.0%	60.2%	57.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Crystal Bradford	0	0%	3	100%	3	100%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	16	50%	0	0%	1	100%
Aari McDonald	0	0%	9	61%	2	75%	1	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	2	0%	2	125%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	6	75%	2	0%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	14	36%	2	0%	2	50%
Monique Billings	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	55	49%	11	64%	4	50%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Napheesa Collier	0	0%	11	64%	1	100%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	2	0%	4	112%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	6	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	11	77%	2	0%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	4	75%	1	100%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	7	57%	1	0%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	2	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	44	60%	13	58%	0	0%