WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	74		Excitement	8.1 [32]		MVP	Jonquel Jones (CON): +34.2%
Minnesota Lynx	79		Comeback	554.6 [1]		LVP	DeWanna Bonner (CON): -25.7%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonquel Jones	0.34	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.11	0.21	-0.02	16	61%	0.42	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Jasmine Thomas	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.01	12	54%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Brionna Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
DiJonai Carrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Briann January	0.00	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	10	35%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Natisha Hiedeman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	3	25%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Beatrice Mompremier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeWanna Bonner	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.04	-0.21	0.00	22	38%	-0.16	2	-0.10	3	67%	-0.03

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.02	0.23	-0.01	12	48%	0.34	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19	0.19	0.18	0.04	0.03	14	71%	0.26	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Crystal Dangerfield	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	-0.06	0.22	-0.03	8	31%	0.27	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Napheesa Collier	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.04	0.11	-0.02	12	46%	0.21	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Damiris Dantas	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	64%	0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	12	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	MIN	WNBA	CON	MIN	WNBA
this game	16.8	16.1	14.9	92.5	94.0	99.6
season	16.0	14.5		102.1	101.2
opponent	15.1	15.3		97.2	92.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	15.3	18.0	17.6	15.7	16.8
MIN	17.0	15.3	16.6	16.0	16.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	4%	70%	23%	2.8%	33.3%	48.0%	34.4%	0.0%
MIN	4%	67%	24%	4.3%	50.0%	46.8%	35.3%	116.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jonquel Jones	3	33%	12	54%	1	150%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	10	60%	2	0%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	2	50%	2	50%	1	0%
DiJonai Carrington	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	7	21%	2	100%	1	0%
Natisha Hiedeman	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Beatrice Mompremier	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	14	50%	8	12%	0	0%
Sun	3	33%	50	48%	16	34%	2	0%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	5	40%	5	20%	2	125%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	11	73%	3	33%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	2	0%	4	0%	1	150%	1	100%
Napheesa Collier	0	0%	8	37%	4	62%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	2	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	5	90%	2	0%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	1	150%	10	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	3	50%	47	47%	17	35%	3	117%