WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	82		Excitement	10.9 [6]		MVP	Courtney Vandersloot (CHI): +35.2%
Chicago Sky	79		Comeback	9.1 [23]		LVP	Astou Ndour-Fall (CHI): -34.2%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nia Coffey	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.10	-0.01	12	62%	0.26	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amanda Zahui B	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.17	0.05	0.02	8	100%	0.30	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.02,0.02,0.11	-0.11	0.21	-0.01	19	39%	0.32	5	-0.21	6	83%	0.02
Nneka Ogwumike	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.14,0,0,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	-0.06	0.02	11	68%	0.38	3	-0.33	9	78%	0.01
Brittney Sykes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Arella Guirantes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kristi Toliver	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bria Holmes	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Te'a Cooper	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.06	-0.03	6	0%	-0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.20	0.17	0.03	18	74%	0.64	4	-0.29	2	100%	0.01
Azur� Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	7	61%	0.16	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Ruthy Hebard	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.04	0.00	7	75%	0.13	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Shyla Heal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.12	-0.18	-0.02	14	37%	-0.11	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Diamond DeShields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28	-0.28	-0.20	-0.11	-0.03	15	25%	-0.01	5	-0.27	2	100%	0.02
Astou Ndour-Fall	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.34	-0.34	-0.08	-0.28	-0.02	13	35%	-0.23	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	CHI	WNBA	LAS	CHI	WNBA
this game	14.2	15.1	14.9	87.2	87.8	99.6
season	15.3	14.5		91.0	100.4
opponent	15.0	14.9		97.3	96.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	15.1	13.0	16.3	12.6	14.2
CHI	13.2	16.4	13.7	17.9	15.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	0%	64%	32%	4.1%	0.0%	45.7%	45.7%	66.7%
CHI	1%	57%	29%	12.0%	0.0%	51.2%	47.7%	11.1%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	8	62%	3	83%	1	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	6	92%	2	125%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	8	25%	9	22%	2	100%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	6	83%	5	40%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	4	37%	2	75%	0	0%
Arella Guirantes	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Bria Holmes	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Te'a Cooper	0	0%	4	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	47	46%	23	46%	3	67%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	8	87%	8	75%	2	0%
Azur� Stevens	1	0%	2	125%	2	0%	2	50%
Ruthy Hebard	0	0%	5	80%	1	100%	1	0%
Shyla Heal	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	8	25%	5	50%	1	0%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	11	18%	4	25%	0	0%
Astou Ndour-Fall	0	0%	8	56%	2	0%	3	0%
Sky	1	0%	43	51%	22	48%	9	11%