WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	87		Excitement	9.0 [19]		MVP	Sue Bird (SEA): +60.9%
Seattle Storm	90		Comeback	2.2 [90]		LVP	Jasmine Thomas (CON): -23.0%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonquel Jones	0.51	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51	0.21	0.32	0.02	19	61%	0.60	2	-0.09	8	75%	-0.02
DiJonai Carrington	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.01	0.19	0.00	2	50%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brionna Jones	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	-0.03	0.02	13	68%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Natisha Hiedeman	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	-0.04	-0.00	8	87%	0.20	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
DeWanna Bonner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0	0.04	-0.05	-0.01	13	50%	0.14	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kaila Charles	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Thomas	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	12	33%	-0.04	5	-0.19	3	67%	-0.02

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sue Bird	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.43,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61	0.61	0.17	0.41	-0.03	15	58%	0.61	0	0.00	6	83%	0.06
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.13	0.19	-0.03	13	59%	0.36	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Candice Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	4	89%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Breanna Stewart	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	16	47%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.07
Kennedy Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Epiphanny Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mercedes Russell	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	6	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	SEA	WNBA	CON	SEA	WNBA
this game	16.5	14.0	14.9	97.8	102.3	99.6
season	16.0	14.2		102.1	102.5
opponent	15.5	15.3		96.7	92.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	15.3	19.0	16.2	15.4	16.5
SEA	13.8	11.6	13.8	16.4	14.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	77%	19%	4.3%	0.0%	52.8%	46.2%	83.3%
SEA	1%	79%	19%	0.0%	0.0%	44.7%	71.4%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	11	50%	7	57%	1	150%
DiJonai Carrington	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	1	100%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	13	69%	0	0%	0	0%
Natisha Hiedeman	0	0%	8	87%	0	0%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	8	44%	5	40%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaila Charles	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	10	35%	1	0%	1	0%
Sun	0	0%	54	53%	13	46%	3	83%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sue Bird	0	0%	13	38%	2	150%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	7	36%	6	75%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	4	87%	0	0%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	1	0%	12	50%	3	50%	0	0%
Kennedy Burke	0	0%	3	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	9	44%	0	0%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	5	40%	1	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Storm	1	0%	57	45%	14	71%	0	0%