WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	100		Excitement	11.7 [2]		MVP	Breanna Stewart (SEA): +46.8%
Dallas Wings	97		Comeback	24.0 [14]		LVP	Moriah Jefferson (DAL): -24.8%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Breanna Stewart	0.47	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.15,0.24,0.2,0.47	0.19	0.28	0.00	28	54%	0.53	2	-0.07	11	82%	0.09
Jordin Canada	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.47	0.10	0.36	-0.00	10	58%	0.47	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Jewell Loyd	0.40	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.4,0.4	0.15	0.25	0.00	22	54%	0.42	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Sue Bird	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Kennedy Burke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Epiphanny Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Candice Dupree	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	8	44%	0.07	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Mercedes Russell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Stephanie Talbot	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.02	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla Thornton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.11	0.25	0.00	10	56%	0.35	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.09
Arike Ogunbowale	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.41,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.08	0.00	23	53%	0.43	2	-0.22	7	86%	0.02
Isabelle Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.14	0.01	16	47%	0.21	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marina Mabrey	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	-0.02	0.01	18	72%	0.33	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Bella Alarie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charli Collier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristine Anigwe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dana Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	2	83%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tyasha Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Moriah Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25	-0.25	-0.16	-0.10	-0.01	6	0%	-0.12	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DAL	WNBA	SEA	DAL	WNBA
this game	14.0	14.2	14.9	105.3	101.0	99.6
season	14.2	15.5		102.5	100.6
opponent	14.7	15.5		102.2	96.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.0	15.7	13.6	15.5	14.0
DAL	15.3	13.6	14.3	12.5	14.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	0%	72%	21%	6.2%	0.0%	46.6%	50.0%	60.0%
DAL	0%	70%	22%	8.5%	0.0%	52.6%	50.0%	42.9%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	15	50%	10	50%	3	33%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	7	43%	2	50%	1	100%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	18	44%	3	83%	1	100%
Sue Bird	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Kennedy Burke	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	7	43%	1	0%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	3	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	58	47%	17	50%	5	60%

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	7	50%	2	50%	1	100%
Arike Ogunbowale	0	0%	15	50%	5	50%	3	33%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	10	30%	4	75%	2	50%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	13	88%	5	30%	0	0%
Bella Alarie	0	0%	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Charli Collier	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristine Anigwe	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	5	0%	0	0%	1	0%
Wings	0	0%	57	53%	18	50%	7	43%