WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	77		Excitement	9.8 [12]		MVP	Diana Taurasi (PHO): +57.2%
Minnesota Lynx	75		Comeback	3.7 [56]		LVP	Bridget Carleton (MIN): -11.9%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Diana Taurasi	0.57	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,0.57	-0.01	0.59	0.00	13	41%	0.65	2	-0.08	8	75%	-0.00
Brittney Griner	0.28	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.28	0.06	0.20	-0.01	13	61%	0.35	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.12
Brianna Turner	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.07	0.15	-0.01	10	59%	0.24	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Shey Peddy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cierra Burdick	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Diggins-Smith	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.06	-0.03	19	45%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kia Nurse	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.05	0.00	13	32%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.08
Sophie Cunningham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.19	0.01	11	61%	0.33	0	0.00	6	100%	0.09
Crystal Dangerfield	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.10	-0.03	16	52%	0.23	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.07	0.07	-0.07	0.14	-0.01	12	42%	0.22	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02
Aerial Powers	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	16	51%	0.17	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Damiris Dantas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	9	39%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	MIN	WNBA	PHO	MIN	WNBA
this game	14.9	13.6	14.9	92.8	88.2	99.6
season	15.2	14.5		103.2	101.2
opponent	15.1	15.2		97.2	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	11.8	16.6	17.7	14.0	14.9
MIN	15.2	15.0	10.9	13.3	13.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	0%	67%	28%	5.3%	0.0%	45.0%	38.1%	62.5%
MIN	0%	69%	26%	4.2%	0.0%	44.0%	39.5%	66.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	8	31%	3	0%	2	75%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	9	67%	3	33%	1	100%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	3	33%	7	71%	0	0%
Shey Peddy	0	0%	2	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Cierra Burdick	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	15	50%	3	33%	1	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	9	33%	4	25%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercury	0	0%	50	45%	21	38%	4	62%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	9	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	10	55%	6	50%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	1	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	8	37%	3	33%	1	100%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	11	50%	3	33%	2	50%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	7	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	50	44%	19	39%	3	67%