WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	85		Excitement	7.3 [61]		MVP	Alyssa Thomas (CON): +27.8%
Connecticut Sun	89		Comeback	6.1 [44]		LVP	Jasmine Thomas (CON): -16.7%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dearica Hamby	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.04	0.01	5	87%	0.22	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Sydney Colson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	2	67%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
A'ja Wilson	0.09	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Liz Cambage	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.02	-0.03	14	55%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Tamera Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kayla McBride	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	-0.04	9	48%	0.00	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jackie Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	8	45%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Sugar Rodgers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Plum	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	10	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.19	0.10	0.01	18	63%	0.35	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.00
Morgan Tuck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.08	0.19	0.00	2	87%	0.27	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Courtney Williams	0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	20	57%	0.19	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Shekinna Stricklen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bria Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jonquel Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Theresa Plaisance	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jasmine Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	9	20%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	CON	WNBA	LVA	CON	WNBA
this game	13.7	14.5	14.9	100.0	104.7	98.5
season	13.3	14.3		99.9	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		96.9	96.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	13.2	11.8	14.8	15.5	13.7
CON	14.1	13.8	13.7	16.9	14.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	0%	69%	30%	1.4%	0.0%	55.1%	28.6%	0.0%
CON	0%	68%	32%	0.0%	0.0%	54.2%	45.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	4	75%	1	100%	0	0%
Sydney Colson	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	7	71%	8	37%	0	0%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	11	55%	3	33%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	4	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	5	70%	4	0%	0	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	7	43%	0	0%	1	0%
Sugar Rodgers	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	9	39%	1	0%	0	0%
Aces	0	0%	49	55%	21	29%	1	0%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	13	62%	5	60%	0	0%
Morgan Tuck	0	0%	0	0%	2	125%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	14	57%	6	50%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	5	70%	1	0%	0	0%
Bria Holmes	0	0%	3	83%	4	25%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	3	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	7	14%	2	0%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	48	54%	23	46%	0	0%