WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	66		Excitement	6.9 [70]		MVP	Kayla McBride (LVA): +17.2%
Seattle Storm	69		Comeback	1.2 [113]		LVP	Liz Cambage (LVA): -16.5%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla McBride	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.17	0.06	0.12	0.01	7	69%	0.23	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sugar Rodgers	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A'ja Wilson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Tamera Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
JiSu Park	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Colson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carolyn Swords	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Plum	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	-0.02	-0.06	-0.02	11	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jackie Young	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	8	44%	-0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Liz Cambage	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.23,-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	15	46%	0.06	5	-0.22	5	40%	-0.03

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.00	-0.00	8	78%	0.16	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Crystal Langhorne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	9	55%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.04	0.04	-0.12	0.13	-0.03	12	27%	0.08	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.07
Shavonte Zellous	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mercedes Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	21	43%	0.10	6	-0.21	7	100%	0.07

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	SEA	WNBA	LVA	SEA	WNBA
this game	12.3	16.2	14.9	78.6	82.1	98.5
season	13.3	15.3		99.9	95.4
opponent	15.1	15.5		95.6	96.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	11.5	11.5	14.1	12.4	12.3
SEA	12.2	18.5	15.9	19.2	16.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	0%	82%	15%	3.2%	0.0%	49.0%	38.9%	0.0%
SEA	0%	96%	4%	0.0%	0.0%	35.5%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	6	50%	1	150%	0	0%
Sugar Rodgers	0	0%	2	125%	0	0%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
JiSu Park	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sydney Colson	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	10	40%	0	0%	1	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	5	40%	1	0%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	6	58%	1	0%	1	0%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	10	50%	5	40%	0	0%
Aces	0	0%	51	49%	9	39%	2	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	8	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	9	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	12	8%	0	0%	0	0%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	7	43%	1	0%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	7	29%	0	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	19	37%	2	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	69	36%	3	0%	0	0%