WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	63		Excitement	7.5 [54]		MVP	Brittney Griner (PHO): +75.1%
Phoenix Mercury	65		Comeback	1.8 [157]		LVP	Briann January (PHO): -18.5%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Sykes	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.23,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.09	0.15	-0.06	0.01	18	58%	0.41	4	-0.32	14	71%	0.01
Elizabeth Williams	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.08	-0.12	0.18	-0.02	10	18%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Renee Montgomery	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	9	44%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marie G�lich	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	4	30%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Maite Cazorla	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monique Billings	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tiffany Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	48%	0.04	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Alex Bentley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	14%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jessica Breland	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	9	22%	-0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Griner	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.75	0.75	0.26	0.46	-0.03	15	76%	0.82	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.02
Leilani Mitchell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.09	-0.05	15	43%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Essence Carson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	1	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Sophie Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alanna Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sancho Lyttle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	15	31%	-0.06	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Briann January	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHO	WNBA	ATL	PHO	WNBA
this game	15.0	16.3	14.9	81.8	85.5	98.5
season	15.4	15.3		89.0	97.2
opponent	15.3	14.7		99.7	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.9	13.8	14.3	15.0	15.0
PHO	14.5	17.1	17.3	16.6	16.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	0%	81%	17%	1.4%	0.0%	31.6%	45.8%	100.0%
PHO	4%	78%	18%	0.0%	0.0%	36.5%	50.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	13	50%	5	60%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	9	11%	0	0%	1	100%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	6	42%	3	50%	0	0%
Marie G�lich	0	0%	2	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Maite Cazorla	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	10	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	5	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	8	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	57	32%	12	46%	1	100%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Griner	1	0%	12	75%	2	100%	0	0%
Leilani Mitchell	2	0%	8	44%	5	60%	0	0%
Essence Carson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alanna Smith	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Sancho Lyttle	0	0%	5	20%	3	33%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	13	27%	2	0%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercury	3	0%	52	37%	12	50%	0	0%