WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	67		Excitement	7.2 [51]		MVP	Riquna Williams (LAS): +26.8%
Washington Mystics	69		Comeback	11.3 [19]		LVP	Nneka Ogwumike (LAS): -17.1%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Riquna Williams	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.14	0.12	-0.01	9	70%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jantel Lavender	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alana Beard	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	2	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Odyssey Sims	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Essence Carson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chelsea Gray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Maria Vadeeva	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Candace Parker	-0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15	0.03	-0.17	0.01	9	68%	0.06	5	-0.21	1	100%	0.00
Nneka Ogwumike	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.08,-0.17	-0.01	-0.18	-0.02	13	36%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,0.18	0.18	-0.14	0.31	-0.01	11	18%	0.23	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kristi Toliver	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.04	0.01	7	75%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	6	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	0.00	8	37%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	17	47%	0.15	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
LaToya Sanders	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Aerial Powers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.06,0.06,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.12	-0.01	9	56%	0.16	2	-0.24	0	0%	0.00
Monique Currie	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	WAS	WNBA	LAS	WAS	WNBA
this game	17.5	15.4	14.9	93.1	94.5	102.8
season	16.4	15.4		100.4	106.8
opponent	14.9	14.4		102.6	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	16.2	15.2	16.8	22.7	17.5
WAS	15.4	16.4	14.8	14.8	15.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	0%	87%	7%	6.0%	0.0%	46.6%	20.0%	0.0%
WAS	0%	85%	14%	1.4%	0.0%	41.1%	50.0%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Riquna Williams	0	0%	9	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Jantel Lavender	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Alana Beard	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	6	17%	1	0%	0	0%
Essence Carson	0	0%	6	17%	3	33%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	8	62%	0	0%	1	0%
Maria Vadeeva	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Candace Parker	0	0%	8	75%	0	0%	1	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	10	40%	1	0%	2	0%
Sparks	0	0%	58	47%	5	20%	4	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	8	12%	2	0%	1	100%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	6	83%	1	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	5	70%	1	100%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	13	42%	4	62%	0	0%
LaToya Sanders	0	0%	9	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	7	50%	2	75%	0	0%
Monique Currie	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	62	41%	10	50%	1	100%