WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	91		Excitement	9.9 [4]		MVP	Diamond DeShields (CHI): +48.4%
Minnesota Lynx	88		Comeback	6.5 [16]		LVP	Seimone Augustus (MIN): -28.5%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Diamond DeShields	0.48	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.48	0.28	0.18	-0.02	15	85%	0.58	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Allie Quigley	0.37	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.37	0.08	0.29	0.00	9	59%	0.41	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.14	0.08	0.01	8	80%	0.30	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	5	58%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cheyenne Parker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	71%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.08
Gabby Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.13	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Alaina Coates	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Linnae Harper	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stefanie Dolson	-0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.27,-0.27	-0.06	-0.20	0.00	9	33%	-0.10	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maya Moore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.26,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.21	0.15	-0.00	13	81%	0.45	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.11	0.14	-0.00	11	61%	0.33	2	-0.08	9	56%	-0.12
Tanisha Wright	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Temi Fagbenle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Lindsay Whalen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cecilia Zandalasini	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Alexis Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	31%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erlana Larkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Colson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Seimone Augustus	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.02,-0.28	-0.28	0.02	-0.33	-0.02	13	50%	0.14	2	-0.43	2	100%	0.03

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIN	WNBA	CHI	MIN	WNBA
this game	14.6	15.4	14.9	113.8	110.0	102.8
season	14.6	15.8		101.1	100.3
opponent	14.7	14.8		99.8	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.3	15.3	14.8	14.8	14.6
MIN	17.4	14.7	14.5	15.2	15.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	0%	68%	29%	3.2%	0.0%	61.9%	58.3%	50.0%
MIN	0%	70%	25%	4.2%	0.0%	54.0%	61.1%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	8	87%	6	92%	1	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	4	25%	4	75%	1	100%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	7	79%	1	100%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	5	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	4	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	6	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Alaina Coates	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Linnae Harper	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	8	37%	1	0%	0	0%
Sky	0	0%	42	62%	18	58%	2	50%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Maya Moore	0	0%	8	75%	5	90%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	7	57%	4	75%	0	0%
Tanisha Wright	0	0%	6	67%	2	50%	0	0%
Temi Fagbenle	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Whalen	0	0%	2	75%	2	75%	1	0%
Cecilia Zandalasini	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Alexis Jones	0	0%	7	36%	0	0%	1	0%
Erlana Larkins	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sydney Colson	0	0%	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%
Seimone Augustus	0	0%	11	55%	1	0%	1	0%
Lynx	0	0%	50	54%	18	61%	3	0%