WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	76		Excitement	8.0 [29]		MVP	Kristi Toliver (WAS): +69.5%
Dallas Wings	74		Comeback	18.2 [12]		LVP	Kaela Davis (DAL): -25.5%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristi Toliver	0.69	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.69	0.13	0.54	-0.02	14	57%	0.69	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.18	0.07	0.00	6	93%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Aerial Powers	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.00	5	58%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tianna Hawkins	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.01	3	83%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaToya Sanders	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.01	0.00	11	65%	0.14	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Krystal Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Atkins	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	11	37%	0.00	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Monique Currie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elena Delle Donne	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.12	0.01	9	24%	-0.20	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.12	-0.01	10	80%	0.35	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glory Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	9	50%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Azur� Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.05	-0.05	8	59%	0.25	3	-0.14	1	0%	-0.02
Tayler Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	-0.05	10	40%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cayla George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allisha Gray	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Liz Cambage	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	19	40%	0.01	4	-0.14	2	0%	-0.03
Kaela Davis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.25	-0.25	-0.07	-0.18	-0.00	10	32%	-0.08	2	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DAL	WNBA	WAS	DAL	WNBA
this game	15.1	16.6	14.9	101.3	97.4	102.8
season	15.4	14.5		106.8	106.2
opponent	14.9	14.9		105.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.3	11.3	18.4	18.2	15.1
DAL	16.2	15.5	16.9	18.2	16.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	0%	74%	23%	3.1%	0.0%	56.2%	26.7%	125.0%
DAL	0%	71%	28%	1.4%	0.0%	52.0%	45.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	7	79%	5	0%	2	125%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	6	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	1	0%	4	62%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	2	50%	1	150%	0	0%
LaToya Sanders	0	0%	11	64%	0	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Krystal Thomas	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	11	27%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Currie	0	0%	2	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	6	33%	3	0%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	48	56%	15	27%	2	125%

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	6	92%	4	62%	0	0%
Glory Johnson	0	0%	7	43%	2	50%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	5	60%	3	67%	0	0%
Tayler Hill	0	0%	5	50%	5	30%	0	0%
Cayla George	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	5	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	16	37%	3	67%	0	0%
Kaela Davis	0	0%	6	50%	3	0%	1	0%
Wings	0	0%	51	52%	20	45%	1	0%