WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	82		Excitement	9.2 [11]		MVP	Tina Charles (NYL): +52.2%
Minnesota Lynx	85		Comeback	3.1 [163]		LVP	Brittany Boyd (NYL): -12.0%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tina Charles	0.52	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.54,0.52	0.32	0.15	-0.05	18	74%	0.43	1	0.09	7	86%	0.01
Amanda Zahui B	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.32	0.06	0.26	-0.01	14	54%	0.41	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Epiphanny Prince	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	5	33%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kia Vaughn	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marissa Coleman	-0.05	0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kiah Stokes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sugar Rodgers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	6	38%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Bria Hartley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.07	0.00	-0.08	-0.00	9	57%	0.10	4	-0.17	3	100%	0.03
Kia Nurse	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	8	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brittany Boyd	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.24	0.08	0.02	14	69%	0.34	1	-0.04	11	64%	-0.02
Seimone Augustus	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.13	-0.01	15	47%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Whalen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	8	59%	0.18	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rebekkah Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.09	0.11	-0.07	9	33%	0.16	2	-0.07	12	50%	-0.03
Danielle Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	6	33%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tanisha Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Temi Fagbenle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cecilia Zandalasini	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maya Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	0.04	0.05	15	32%	-0.06	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.07

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	MIN	WNBA	NYL	MIN	WNBA
this game	14.0	16.9	14.9	106.5	109.0	102.8
season	14.6	15.8		96.9	100.3
opponent	14.7	15.4		99.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	14.4	14.3	14.7	12.6	14.0
MIN	16.9	13.1	18.6	20.1	16.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	0%	75%	21%	4.1%	0.0%	48.2%	46.7%	50.0%
MIN	0%	68%	29%	2.6%	0.0%	46.2%	34.1%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tina Charles	0	0%	13	73%	5	70%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	10	35%	3	83%	1	150%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	3	33%	2	0%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sugar Rodgers	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	1	0%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	7	64%	1	0%	1	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	5	50%	3	0%	0	0%
Brittany Boyd	0	0%	4	25%	1	100%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	55	48%	15	47%	3	50%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	13	69%	1	100%	0	0%
Seimone Augustus	0	0%	8	37%	6	50%	1	100%
Lindsay Whalen	0	0%	6	50%	2	75%	0	0%
Rebekkah Brunson	0	0%	7	14%	2	50%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	4	25%	2	50%	0	0%
Tanisha Wright	0	0%	2	125%	2	0%	0	0%
Temi Fagbenle	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Cecilia Zandalasini	0	0%	2	75%	2	0%	0	0%
Maya Moore	0	0%	10	30%	4	0%	1	0%
Lynx	0	0%	52	46%	22	34%	2	50%