WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	85		Excitement	8.1 [25]		MVP	A'ja Wilson (LVA): +22.1%
Phoenix Mercury	82		Comeback	1.4 [45]		LVP	Angel Robinson (PHO): -11.5%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A'ja Wilson	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.22	0.15	0.08	0.01	11	64%	0.22	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kayla McBride	0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.06	0.01	23	52%	0.30	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Kelsey Plum	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	10	40%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamera Young	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Dearica Hamby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.12	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Nia Coffey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JiSu Park	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carolyn Swords	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	3	67%	0.09	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Bone	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	1	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Moriah Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Diana Taurasi	0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.12,0.24,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.00	0.01	24	60%	0.42	5	-0.25	7	100%	0.04
Yvonne Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.06	0.02	3	55%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Camille Little	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Briann January	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leilani Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.09	0.00	5	60%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.11	0.01	13	50%	-0.00	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marie G�lich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Griner	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	0.03	-0.13	0.00	14	47%	-0.04	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.04
Angel Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	PHO	WNBA	LVA	PHO	WNBA
this game	12.5	15.1	14.9	96.6	95.3	102.8
season	14.0	14.9		101.3	107.5
opponent	15.0	15.0		103.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	12.4	11.1	13.1	13.6	12.5
PHO	12.4	15.7	17.8	14.9	15.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	0%	81%	18%	1.3%	0.0%	38.9%	42.9%	100.0%
PHO	0%	78%	18%	4.1%	0.0%	39.7%	53.8%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	8	62%	2	0%	1	100%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	19	39%	4	75%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	10	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	5	40%	3	33%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	5	40%	1	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	7	29%	2	50%	0	0%
JiSu Park	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	2	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Kelsey Bone	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	5	20%	1	0%	0	0%
Aces	0	0%	63	39%	14	43%	1	100%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	16	50%	7	71%	1	0%
Yvonne Turner	0	0%	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	6	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	1	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	12	54%	1	0%	0	0%
Marie G�lich	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	11	27%	2	50%	1	0%
Angel Robinson	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercury	0	0%	58	40%	13	54%	3	0%