WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	86		Excitement	8.9 [16]		MVP	Tiffany Hayes (ATL): +60.3%
Connecticut Sun	83		Comeback	26.0 [2]		LVP	Jasmine Thomas (CON): -42.6%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiffany Hayes	0.60	0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.6	0.13	0.44	-0.03	12	55%	0.60	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.02
Elizabeth Williams	0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.33	0.10	0.22	-0.01	7	84%	0.45	4	-0.12	5	80%	-0.01
Angel McCoughtry	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.36,0.26	0.19	0.08	-0.00	14	75%	0.33	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Brittney Sykes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.01	10	50%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Monique Billings	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Renee Montgomery	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	55%	0.07	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Jessica Breland	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	8	39%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Alex Bentley	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	6	0%	-0.16	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.35	0.35	0.02	0.32	-0.01	11	46%	0.37	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.04
Jonquel Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.19	0.15	-0.00	10	76%	0.37	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.03
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.11,0.08,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.12	-0.02	10	68%	0.30	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Chiney Ogwumike	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	7	71%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shekinna Stricklen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morgan Tuck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.22,-0.43	-0.43	-0.14	-0.31	-0.02	18	31%	-0.26	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CON	WNBA	ATL	CON	WNBA
this game	12.8	15.2	14.9	101.2	96.5	102.8
season	14.6	14.6		99.6	107.9
opponent	14.9	14.7		101.3	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.9	11.7	12.4	12.4	12.8
CON	16.4	13.8	16.1	14.8	15.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	0%	71%	23%	6.2%	0.0%	48.9%	50.0%	62.5%
CON	0%	72%	26%	2.6%	0.0%	47.3%	55.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	10	40%	1	0%	1	150%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	5	80%	1	100%	1	100%
Angel McCoughtry	0	0%	9	72%	3	117%	2	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	6	25%	4	75%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	4	62%	1	0%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	7	43%	1	0%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	2	0%	4	0%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	46	49%	15	50%	4	62%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	10	40%	1	100%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	7	71%	3	83%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	4	25%	6	92%	0	0%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	7	71%	0	0%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	4	75%	2	0%	0	0%
Morgan Tuck	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	3	0%	3	33%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	10	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	11	41%	5	20%	2	0%
Sun	0	0%	56	47%	20	55%	2	0%