WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	77		Excitement	7.6 [41]		MVP	Brittney Sykes (ATL): +31.9%
Atlanta Dream	80		Comeback	4.5 [30]		LVP	Kristi Toliver (WAS): -28.6%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monique Currie	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	6	67%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Tianna Hawkins	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	3	83%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elena Delle Donne	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	22	47%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.06
LaToya Sanders	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.15	-0.01	0.06	8	80%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Ariel Atkins	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Myisha Hines-Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25	-0.12	-0.16	-0.03	6	0%	-0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristi Toliver	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.29	-0.01	-0.28	-0.01	13	43%	-0.22	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.07,0.03,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.13	0.16	-0.03	9	71%	0.35	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Monique Billings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.05	0.03	5	77%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.07	0.02	9	52%	0.14	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.07
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Imani McGee-Stafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Angel McCoughtry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	0.02	14	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Renee Montgomery	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	6	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Breland	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	14	34%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Alex Bentley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	7	14%	-0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	WNBA	WAS	ATL	WNBA
this game	14.1	16.6	14.9	97.5	103.9	102.8
season	15.4	14.6		106.8	99.6
opponent	14.7	14.9		98.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	11.8	15.2	15.6	14.1	14.1
ATL	15.8	18.1	17.8	15.2	16.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	4%	67%	23%	5.7%	33.3%	52.1%	34.4%	0.0%
ATL	1%	78%	18%	2.7%	0.0%	37.7%	50.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Monique Currie	0	0%	3	33%	3	67%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	0	0%	3	83%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	1	0%	16	59%	5	0%	0	0%
LaToya Sanders	0	0%	8	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	1	100%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	1	0%	1	0%	2	0%	2	0%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	8	62%	3	33%	2	0%
Mystics	3	33%	47	52%	16	34%	4	0%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Sykes	1	0%	3	33%	5	90%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	2	100%	3	67%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	9	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	5	80%	1	0%	0	0%
Imani McGee-Stafford	0	0%	2	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Angel McCoughtry	0	0%	14	21%	0	0%	0	0%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	5	30%	0	0%	1	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	12	33%	1	0%	1	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	5	20%	2	0%	0	0%
Dream	1	0%	57	38%	13	50%	2	0%