WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	84		Excitement	9.3 [8]		MVP	Breanna Stewart (SEA): +44.8%
Seattle Storm	91		Comeback	1.7 [114]		LVP	Aerial Powers (DAL): -19.3%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Liz Cambage	0.35	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.27,0.35,0.35	0.18	0.18	0.01	15	68%	0.42	1	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Kayla Thornton	0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.18	0.16	-0.01	9	95%	0.43	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0.16	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16	0.14	0.03	0.02	15	57%	0.16	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Cayla George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glory Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Azur� Stevens	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	8	33%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Allisha Gray	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	9	40%	0.03	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.03
Kaela Davis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Aerial Powers	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	4	0%	-0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Breanna Stewart	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.27	0.20	0.03	22	65%	0.57	2	-0.12	10	80%	-0.03
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.06	0.19	-0.01	11	61%	0.35	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.03
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.03	-0.05	10	38%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.02	6	64%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Crystal Langhorne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	15	34%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sue Bird	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.08	6	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	WNBA	DAL	SEA	WNBA
this game	13.0	15.5	14.9	100.0	108.3	102.8
season	14.5	14.5		106.2	108.2
opponent	15.5	14.9		99.6	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.2	15.1	11.5	11.9	13.0
SEA	14.8	18.2	14.6	14.8	15.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	3%	71%	25%	1.4%	125.0%	48.0%	50.0%	100.0%
SEA	0%	74%	25%	1.3%	0.0%	46.5%	42.1%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	9	56%	6	83%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	7	93%	1	100%	1	100%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	1	100%	10	45%	4	62%	0	0%
Cayla George	1	150%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Glory Johnson	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	7	29%	1	0%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	8	44%	1	0%	0	0%
Kaela Davis	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	1	0%	3	0%	0	0%
Wings	2	125%	49	48%	17	50%	1	100%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	15	70%	6	33%	1	100%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	9	61%	2	50%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	6	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	6	58%	0	0%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	1	100%	2	50%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	11	18%	4	37%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	5	20%	1	150%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	57	46%	19	42%	1	100%