WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	90		Excitement	7.9 [33]		MVP	Kayla McBride (LVA): +38.6%
Las Vegas Aces	94		Comeback	15.6 [8]		LVP	Jasmine Thomas (CON): -19.5%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chiney Ogwumike	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.00	12	54%	0.23	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Morgan Tuck	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.18	-0.01	-0.01	15	67%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonquel Jones	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.01	-0.01	8	73%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.11
Betnijah Laney	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	71%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shekinna Stricklen	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brionna Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lexie Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Bentley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.00	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Thomas	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.13,-0.2	-0.07	-0.15	-0.02	12	33%	-0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla McBride	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.20	0.14	-0.05	20	60%	0.39	0	0.00	5	80%	0.07
Kelsey Plum	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.17	0.00	7	64%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A'ja Wilson	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.15	0.15	0.20	-0.06	-0.01	24	60%	0.30	3	-0.15	9	89%	0.03
Moriah Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	5	69%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Tamera Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
JiSu Park	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nia Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaime Nared	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Bone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	LVA	WNBA	CON	LVA	WNBA
this game	15.1	13.5	14.9	105.9	114.6	102.8
season	14.6	14.0		107.9	101.3
opponent	15.0	14.9		105.0	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	15.3	14.9	12.6	17.8	15.1
LVA	11.7	17.6	14.6	10.8	13.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	1%	82%	15%	2.4%	0.0%	55.2%	37.5%	0.0%
LVA	0%	88%	12%	0.0%	0.0%	50.0%	66.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	10	40%	2	100%	0	0%
Morgan Tuck	0	0%	12	71%	2	75%	1	0%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	7	71%	1	100%	0	0%
Betnijah Laney	0	0%	7	71%	0	0%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	4	37%	1	0%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	8	62%	4	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	1	0%	8	50%	2	0%	1	0%
Sun	1	0%	67	55%	12	37%	2	0%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	16	56%	4	62%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	5	40%	2	125%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	21	57%	3	33%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
JiSu Park	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jaime Nared	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Bone	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aces	0	0%	66	50%	9	67%	0	0%