WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	73		Excitement	7.5 [44]		MVP	Nneka Ogwumike (LAS): +59.8%
Los Angeles Sparks	72		Comeback	5.5 [18]		LVP	Chelsea Gray (LAS): -26.5%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chiney Ogwumike	0.41	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.23,0.41	0.14	0.28	0.01	14	64%	0.56	2	-0.15	5	60%	0.02
Jasmine Thomas	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.14,0.24	-0.11	0.30	-0.04	8	31%	0.39	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Betnijah Laney	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.11	0.01	5	69%	0.21	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Morgan Tuck	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	56%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Rachel Banham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	6	61%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Lexie Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brionna Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Bentley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	7	71%	0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jonquel Jones	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shekinna Stricklen	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.6	0.60	0.18	0.42	0.01	12	67%	0.65	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.07
Candace Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.11	-0.04	11	61%	0.34	5	-0.16	6	83%	0.03
Alana Beard	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Essence Carson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Riquna Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	33%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Odyssey Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jantel Lavender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chelsea Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.26	-0.27	0.02	-0.27	0.01	11	55%	0.10	3	-0.36	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	LAS	WNBA	CON	LAS	WNBA
this game	14.0	16.7	14.9	92.4	93.5	102.8
season	14.6	16.4		107.9	100.4
opponent	14.4	14.9		98.9	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	15.1	12.7	13.3	15.1	14.0
LAS	15.6	18.9	15.3	17.4	16.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	2%	78%	17%	3.4%	100.0%	50.0%	40.0%	125.0%
LAS	2%	70%	23%	4.7%	100.0%	44.4%	40.0%	66.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	12	67%	1	0%	1	100%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	6	0%	1	100%	1	150%
Betnijah Laney	0	0%	4	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Morgan Tuck	0	0%	1	100%	3	33%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	6	83%	1	0%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	1	100%	4	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sun	1	100%	46	50%	10	40%	2	125%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nneka Ogwumike	1	100%	4	50%	4	50%	3	67%
Candace Parker	0	0%	7	57%	4	50%	0	0%
Alana Beard	0	0%	4	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Essence Carson	0	0%	6	67%	1	0%	0	0%
Riquna Williams	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	5	20%	4	25%	0	0%
Jantel Lavender	0	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	11	55%	0	0%	0	0%
Sparks	1	100%	45	44%	15	40%	3	67%