WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	97		Excitement	11.0 [2]		MVP	Tina Charles (NYL): +66.9%
Chicago Sky	94		Comeback	6.7 [23]		LVP	Jamierra Faulkner (CHI): -27.1%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tina Charles	0.67	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.67	0.18	0.51	0.02	18	61%	0.76	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.06
Brittany Boyd	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22	0.06	0.15	-0.00	7	70%	0.35	3	-0.13	6	83%	0.03
Kia Vaughn	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	5	71%	0.16	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Bria Hartley	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kiah Stokes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sugar Rodgers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	-0.01	-0.05	3	50%	0.01	1	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shavonte Zellous	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	11	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Amanda Zahui B	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kia Nurse	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Epiphanny Prince	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	10	31%	-0.14	2	-0.08	6	67%	0.01

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allie Quigley	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.55	0.55	0.24	0.31	0.00	17	72%	0.62	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.48	0.48	0.17	0.32	0.01	13	71%	0.59	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.08
Cheyenne Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	6	65%	0.12	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	87%	0.17	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Astou Ndour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gabby Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.14	-0.01	13	38%	-0.02	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Diamond DeShields	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.12	-0.02	12	37%	-0.10	4	-0.10	8	75%	0.00
Jamierra Faulkner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.27	-0.27	-0.05	-0.22	-0.01	2	0%	-0.22	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	CHI	WNBA	NYL	CHI	WNBA
this game	16.1	13.2	14.9	107.8	100.0	102.8
season	14.6	14.6		96.9	101.1
opponent	14.8	15.4		109.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	18.6	14.2	14.9	17.3	16.1
CHI	10.9	14.4	14.4	16.8	13.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	0%	64%	25%	11.1%	0.0%	46.7%	52.8%	37.5%
CHI	0%	61%	30%	9.5%	0.0%	50.0%	61.4%	14.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tina Charles	0	0%	10	55%	6	33%	2	100%
Brittany Boyd	0	0%	1	0%	5	90%	1	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	4	75%	1	100%	0	0%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	7	71%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Sugar Rodgers	0	0%	2	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	7	21%	1	100%	3	33%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	3	33%	2	0%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	6	17%	2	50%	2	0%
Liberty	0	0%	46	47%	18	53%	8	37%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	11	59%	4	125%	2	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	9	72%	3	50%	1	100%
Cheyenne Parker	0	0%	4	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	2	50%	2	125%	0	0%
Astou Ndour	0	0%	3	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	7	50%	5	30%	1	0%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	7	29%	3	33%	2	0%
Jamierra Faulkner	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%
Sky	0	0%	45	50%	22	61%	7	14%