WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	76		Excitement	7.6 [42]		MVP	Maya Moore (MIN): +46.5%
Dallas Wings	72		Comeback	2.4 [102]		LVP	Glory Johnson (DAL): -18.6%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maya Moore	0.47	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.44,0.47	0.17	0.30	-0.00	20	55%	0.48	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.02
Temi Fagbenle	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	3	71%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cecilia Zandalasini	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	5	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Seimone Augustus	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	-0.02	-0.03	13	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sylvia Fowles	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	11	54%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Endy Miyem	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rebekkah Brunson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tanisha Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	27%	0.00	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Alexis Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Whalen	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	4	0%	-0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla Thornton	0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	9	61%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cayla George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	2	125%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allisha Gray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.07	0.02	13	52%	0.18	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	59%	0.15	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Liz Cambage	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	11	56%	0.13	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Aerial Powers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.06	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.03
Azur� Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Glory Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	9	20%	-0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	WNBA	MIN	DAL	WNBA
this game	16.4	13.9	14.9	95.0	92.3	102.8
season	15.8	14.5		100.3	106.2
opponent	14.9	14.7		105.3	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	14.9	18.3	18.0	16.4
DAL	13.9	15.1	12.3	14.4	13.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	0%	70%	28%	1.4%	0.0%	43.0%	45.0%	100.0%
DAL	0%	71%	27%	1.6%	0.0%	45.5%	47.1%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Maya Moore	0	0%	15	43%	4	75%	1	100%
Temi Fagbenle	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Cecilia Zandalasini	0	0%	1	0%	4	62%	0	0%
Seimone Augustus	0	0%	8	69%	5	20%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	9	44%	2	50%	0	0%
Endy Miyem	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebekkah Brunson	0	0%	4	25%	2	75%	0	0%
Tanisha Wright	0	0%	4	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Alexis Jones	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Whalen	0	0%	2	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	50	43%	20	45%	1	100%

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	6	58%	3	67%	0	0%
Cayla George	0	0%	1	150%	1	100%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	9	44%	4	50%	0	0%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	7	57%	4	50%	0	0%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	11	55%	0	0%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	1	0%	2	50%	1	0%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Glory Johnson	0	0%	6	17%	3	0%	0	0%
Wings	0	0%	44	45%	17	47%	1	0%