WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	97		Excitement	9.0 [13]		MVP	Kayla McBride (LVA): +60.1%
Las Vegas Aces	91		Comeback	1.8 [99]		LVP	Kayla Thornton (DAL): -6.9%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0.46	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.45,0.46	0.23	0.23	-0.00	17	63%	0.52	2	-0.06	12	75%	-0.07
Aerial Powers	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.10	0.18	-0.00	5	75%	0.28	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Glory Johnson	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.09	-0.01	10	70%	0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Liz Cambage	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	11	53%	0.26	3	-0.11	10	70%	-0.01
Cayla George	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	8	44%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allisha Gray	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Azur� Stevens	-0.04	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kaela Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kayla Thornton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.6	0.60	0.30	0.27	-0.03	22	72%	0.72	4	-0.12	9	89%	0.04
A'ja Wilson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	19	48%	0.11	0	0.00	8	100%	0.07
Kelsey Plum	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	57%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JiSu Park	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	1	83%	0.07	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Carolyn Swords	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Bone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jaime Nared	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamera Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nia Coffey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	0.00	4	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	20%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LVA	WNBA	DAL	LVA	WNBA
this game	14.8	13.1	14.9	112.8	107.1	102.8
season	14.5	14.0		106.2	101.3
opponent	15.0	14.9		105.0	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.7	14.3	14.3	17.3	14.8
LVA	11.4	13.6	14.3	13.4	13.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	1%	63%	36%	0.0%	0.0%	55.7%	50.0%	0.0%
LVA	4%	68%	27%	1.4%	33.3%	52.1%	36.8%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	1	0%	11	59%	5	70%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	4	62%	1	150%	0	0%
Glory Johnson	0	0%	7	71%	3	67%	0	0%
Liz Cambage	0	0%	5	40%	6	50%	0	0%
Cayla George	0	0%	3	33%	5	50%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	5	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaela Davis	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	1	100%	3	0%	0	0%
Wings	1	0%	44	56%	25	50%	0	0%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	16	69%	6	67%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	2	50%	14	36%	2	50%	1	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	2	150%	5	20%	0	0%
JiSu Park	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Bone	0	0%	3	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Jaime Nared	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	6	33%	2	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	1	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Aces	3	33%	48	52%	19	37%	1	0%