WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	95		Excitement	6.2 [78]		MVP	Kristi Toliver (WAS): +36.4%
Connecticut Sun	91		Comeback	1.9 [48]		LVP	Alex Bentley (CON): -10.1%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristi Toliver	0.36	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.36	0.21	0.20	0.04	17	64%	0.37	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Elena Delle Donne	0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.27,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.31,0.31	0.28	0.12	0.09	22	69%	0.47	4	-0.16	8	100%	0.02
Monique Currie	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.24	0.07	0.19	0.02	7	62%	0.37	2	-0.13	7	86%	0.08
LaToya Sanders	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	2	87%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Natasha Cloud	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Atkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tianna Hawkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Myisha Hines-Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chiney Ogwumike	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.34	0.34	0.16	0.26	0.07	13	56%	0.34	0	0.00	8	87%	0.08
Morgan Tuck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	-0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shekinna Stricklen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	2	83%	0.16	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Jonquel Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	4	90%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.03
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Betnijah Laney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	22%	-0.03	2	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Courtney Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.13,0.13,-0.07	-0.07	0.18	-0.08	0.16	29	59%	-0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.07	0.03	12	48%	0.05	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.00
Alex Bentley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.03	-0.07	9	5%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CON	WNBA	WAS	CON	WNBA
this game	15.3	14.4	14.9	117.3	113.8	102.8
season	15.4	14.6		106.8	107.9
opponent	14.9	14.9		101.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.0	15.0	18.4	15.0	15.3
CON	16.0	15.0	12.9	13.5	14.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	48%	28%	22%	1.6%	48.4%	72.2%	42.9%	150.0%
CON	45%	35%	14%	5.2%	55.7%	40.7%	59.1%	25.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kristi Toliver	6	50%	6	92%	4	0%	1	150%
Elena Delle Donne	9	56%	6	75%	7	64%	0	0%
Monique Currie	4	25%	1	100%	2	75%	0	0%
LaToya Sanders	1	100%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	5	60%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	2	50%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Mystics	31	48%	18	72%	14	43%	1	150%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chiney Ogwumike	5	60%	5	20%	1	100%	2	50%
Morgan Tuck	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	1	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	2	100%	1	150%	1	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Betnijah Laney	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	2	50%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	15	63%	7	64%	5	60%	2	0%
Jasmine Thomas	5	60%	6	17%	1	100%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	5	0%	2	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Sun	35	56%	27	41%	11	59%	4	25%