WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	101		Excitement	8.0 [30]		MVP	A'ja Wilson (LVA): +51.7%
Indiana Fever	92		Comeback	1.4 [84]		LVP	Erica Wheeler (IND): -14.8%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A'ja Wilson	0.52	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.52	0.33	0.22	0.03	24	65%	0.52	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Kelsey Bone	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.03	-0.08	4	100%	0.16	2	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.00	7	79%	0.18	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	1	0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tamera Young	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	46%	0.06	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.05
Jaime Nared	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	3	12%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
JiSu Park	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Plum	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Kayla McBride	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	0.10	-0.16	0.05	15	50%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.25	0.21	0.01	16	76%	0.48	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.07
Candice Dupree	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.12	0.07	13	62%	0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	-0.03	-0.01	12	61%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	13	57%	0.19	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Erica McCall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Mavunga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jazmon Gwathmey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victoria Vivians	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	7	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	5	-0.16	6	83%	-0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	IND	WNBA	LVA	IND	WNBA
this game	14.6	15.5	14.9	112.2	103.4	102.8
season	14.0	15.4		101.3	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.0		107.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	13.4	15.2	12.9	16.4	14.6
IND	17.2	14.1	14.9	16.1	15.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	4%	71%	21%	3.9%	116.7%	52.7%	56.2%	0.0%
IND	5%	74%	20%	1.2%	75.0%	49.2%	34.4%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
A'ja Wilson	1	100%	16	62%	7	71%	0	0%
Kelsey Bone	0	0%	3	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	5	90%	2	50%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	7	29%	1	0%	0	0%
Jaime Nared	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
JiSu Park	1	100%	4	25%	2	50%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	7	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	1	150%	9	44%	2	50%	3	0%
Aces	3	117%	55	53%	16	56%	3	0%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	14	71%	2	100%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	3	100%	8	50%	1	0%	1	100%
Kelsey Mitchell	1	0%	7	100%	4	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	9	44%	4	62%	0	0%
Erica McCall	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Mavunga	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jazmon Gwathmey	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	7	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	4	62%	5	20%	0	0%
Fever	4	75%	60	49%	16	34%	1	100%