WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	67		Excitement	7.6 [43]		MVP	Tiffany Hayes (ATL): +41.4%
Seattle Storm	64		Comeback	2.0 [57]		LVP	Sue Bird (SEA): -21.3%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiffany Hayes	0.41	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.44,0.41	0.16	0.25	-0.00	17	62%	0.50	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Damiris Dantas	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.11	0.05	0.02	7	75%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Layshia Clarendon	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.02	6	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Angel McCoughtry	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.09,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.14	-0.13	19	37%	0.03	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Elizabeth Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	3	12%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jessica Breland	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	9	33%	-0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Renee Montgomery	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	8	12%	-0.07	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.08	0.02	8	50%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Paris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jewell Loyd	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.16,0.08,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.05	-0.03	17	39%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Noelle Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mercedes Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	17	37%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.00	3	30%	0.00	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.17,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.13	0.01	12	48%	-0.04	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Sue Bird	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	11	18%	-0.08	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SEA	WNBA	ATL	SEA	WNBA
this game	15.4	14.2	14.9	81.7	80.0	102.8
season	14.6	14.5		99.6	108.2
opponent	15.5	14.7		99.6	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.7	16.9	14.7	16.5	15.4
SEA	15.4	14.7	15.3	11.3	14.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	1%	83%	12%	4.3%	0.0%	43.0%	37.5%	66.7%
SEA	3%	80%	15%	2.7%	50.0%	36.4%	40.9%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	13	58%	2	50%	2	100%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	6	75%	1	100%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	6	58%	0	0%	0	0%
Angel McCoughtry	0	0%	15	40%	3	0%	1	0%
Elizabeth Williams	1	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	7	29%	2	50%	0	0%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	8	12%	0	0%	0	0%
Dream	1	0%	57	43%	8	37%	3	67%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Alysha Clark	1	100%	5	60%	2	0%	0	0%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Paris	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	1	0%	11	32%	4	62%	1	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	17	35%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	7	64%	4	25%	1	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	10	10%	1	100%	0	0%
Storm	2	50%	59	36%	11	41%	2	0%