WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	88		Excitement	7.3 [49]		MVP	Tanisha Wright (MIN): +20.0%
Washington Mystics	80		Comeback	2.7 [106]		LVP	Natasha Cloud (WAS): -14.6%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tanisha Wright	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.2	0.09	0.10	-0.01	10	57%	0.21	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Seimone Augustus	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.34,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12	0.13	-0.01	-0.00	11	67%	0.19	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rebekkah Brunson	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1	-0.00	0.09	-0.01	3	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lynetta Kizer	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	2	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Danielle Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.07	-0.02	6	50%	0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cecilia Zandalasini	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sylvia Fowles	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.06	-0.09	0.02	15	60%	0.15	5	-0.21	5	100%	0.03
Lindsay Whalen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Maya Moore	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	0.07	-0.07	0.06	15	53%	0.04	2	-0.10	6	100%	0.02

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristi Toliver	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.07	0.01	7	88%	0.25	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.12	-0.01	4	50%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Monique Currie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
LaToya Sanders	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	4	78%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.05	-0.02	7	57%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.07	-0.00	12	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Krystal Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.06	0.05	6	58%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.17	-0.07	18	47%	0.10	5	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	WAS	WNBA	MIN	WAS	WNBA
this game	15.9	14.1	14.9	111.4	98.8	102.8
season	15.8	15.4		100.3	106.8
opponent	14.9	14.7		102.6	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.8	16.3	16.0	15.4	15.9
WAS	13.4	16.1	12.5	14.6	14.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	1%	68%	31%	0.0%	0.0%	51.1%	54.8%	0.0%
WAS	5%	71%	23%	1.5%	50.0%	60.6%	33.3%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tanisha Wright	1	0%	5	30%	4	87%	0	0%
Seimone Augustus	0	0%	6	92%	5	30%	0	0%
Rebekkah Brunson	0	0%	2	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Lynetta Kizer	0	0%	1	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	5	40%	1	100%	0	0%
Cecilia Zandalasini	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	11	55%	4	50%	0	0%
Lindsay Whalen	0	0%	5	40%	1	0%	0	0%
Maya Moore	0	0%	11	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Lynx	1	0%	46	51%	21	55%	0	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	3	133%	4	50%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	2	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Monique Currie	0	0%	3	100%	0	0%	0	0%
LaToya Sanders	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	1	0%	4	75%	2	50%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	10	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Krystal Thomas	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	1	150%	2	100%	3	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	1	0%	14	54%	2	50%	1	0%
Mystics	3	50%	47	61%	15	33%	1	0%