WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	88		Excitement	10.3 [3]		MVP	Shekinna Stricklen (CON): +73.3%
New York Liberty	86		Comeback	12.1 [17]		LVP	Alyssa Thomas (CON): -38.7%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shekinna Stricklen	0.73	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.73	0.08	0.69	0.04	6	75%	0.82	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.05
Chiney Ogwumike	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	10	67%	0.19	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Jonquel Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,0.06,0.06	-0.05	0.11	-0.01	12	32%	0.20	2	-0.14	4	75%	0.02
Alex Bentley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	0.00	7	36%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lexie Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morgan Tuck	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brionna Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Thomas	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	0.08	-0.17	0.01	16	51%	0.03	2	-0.13	5	60%	-0.02
Alyssa Thomas	-0.39	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.01,-0.08,-0.39	-0.08	-0.33	-0.03	14	31%	-0.27	1	-0.11	7	43%	-0.05

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tina Charles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.11	-0.01	18	56%	0.31	2	-0.06	7	86%	-0.02
Marissa Coleman	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0.18	0.18	-0.00	0.18	-0.01	12	46%	0.26	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shavonte Zellous	0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.03	0.02	9	65%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kia Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	5	62%	0.18	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Kia Nurse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.05	0.00	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sugar Rodgers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amanda Zahui B	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	41%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brittany Boyd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Bria Hartley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,-0.09	-0.09	0.09	-0.11	0.07	4	90%	0.00	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.08

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	NYL	WNBA	CON	NYL	WNBA
this game	15.1	13.9	14.9	107.3	103.6	102.8
season	14.6	14.6		107.9	96.9
opponent	15.4	14.9		105.1	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	15.8	15.9	14.8	14.0	15.1
NYL	12.5	14.1	15.2	13.9	13.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	71%	23%	6.1%	0.0%	50.0%	28.9%	50.0%
NYL	0%	75%	23%	1.4%	0.0%	56.7%	31.2%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	5	70%	0	0%	1	150%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	9	72%	1	0%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	8	25%	3	0%	1	100%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	2	50%	5	30%	0	0%
Lexie Brown	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Morgan Tuck	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	8	37%	3	33%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	12	58%	3	33%	1	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	8	25%	4	50%	2	0%
Sun	0	0%	58	50%	19	29%	5	50%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tina Charles	0	0%	13	54%	5	40%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	10	45%	1	0%	1	100%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	6	75%	3	33%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	3	33%	2	100%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	6	92%	3	0%	0	0%
Sugar Rodgers	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Brittany Boyd	0	0%	1	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	4	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	52	57%	16	31%	1	100%