WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	87		Excitement	9.1 [12]		MVP	Kelsey Mitchell (IND): +57.7%
Indiana Fever	81		Comeback	4.5 [67]		LVP	Victoria Vivians (IND): -13.1%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tina Charles	0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.39	0.01	0.40	0.02	22	47%	0.48	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.14
Kia Nurse	0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.35	0.24	0.15	0.03	16	71%	0.47	4	-0.11	16	94%	0.08
Shavonte Zellous	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.1,0.1	0.08	-0.00	-0.02	12	53%	0.14	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Bria Hartley	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	6	54%	0.08	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Kia Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amanda Zahui B	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rebecca Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marissa Coleman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kiah Stokes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.36,0.61,0.58	0.58	0.22	0.35	-0.01	17	67%	0.68	2	-0.11	5	60%	-0.11
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	12	47%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Candice Dupree	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	18	43%	-0.00	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.09
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.02	9	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hind Ben Abdelkader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jazmon Gwathmey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kayla Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Mavunga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erica McCall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	3	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victoria Vivians	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	8	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	IND	WNBA	NYL	IND	WNBA
this game	14.5	15.6	14.9	97.8	90.0	102.8
season	14.6	15.4		96.9	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.4		107.2	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	12.7	14.8	15.4	16.5	14.5
IND	17.8	15.2	14.6	16.1	15.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	13%	62%	18%	7.4%	22.2%	48.8%	33.3%	40.0%
IND	10%	66%	13%	11.4%	50.0%	43.3%	50.0%	33.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tina Charles	3	33%	11	55%	6	17%	2	50%
Kia Nurse	1	0%	9	72%	4	50%	2	50%
Shavonte Zellous	3	33%	7	43%	1	100%	1	0%
Bria Hartley	1	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	1	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Liberty	9	22%	42	49%	12	33%	5	40%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	11	64%	2	125%	4	50%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	9	33%	3	50%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	4	50%	8	50%	3	33%	3	33%
Tiffany Mitchell	4	50%	4	75%	0	0%	1	0%
Hind Ben Abdelkader	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Jazmon Gwathmey	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla Alexander	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Mavunga	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica McCall	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	1	0%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	6	17%	2	0%	0	0%
Fever	8	50%	52	43%	10	50%	9	33%