WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	77		Excitement	8.2 [23]		MVP	Jewell Loyd (SEA): +37.2%
Seattle Storm	81		Comeback	1.3 [162]		LVP	Monique Currie (WAS): -20.7%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tianna Hawkins	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.07	0.02	14	57%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.06
Ariel Atkins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.08	0.09	-0.01	-0.00	14	53%	0.23	2	-0.15	6	83%	-0.05
Kristi Toliver	0.07	0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.04	-0.01	16	57%	0.20	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Myisha Hines-Allen	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.09	0.04	-0.13	0.00	9	56%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monique Currie	-0.21	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.17	-0.07	-0.03	6	17%	-0.06	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.37	0.37	0.18	0.20	0.00	18	67%	0.46	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Sue Bird	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	0.00	7	43%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	9	64%	0.18	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.03	0.02	21	57%	0.21	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Paris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	8	37%	0.01	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SEA	WNBA	WAS	SEA	WNBA
this game	16.1	14.4	14.9	98.7	102.5	102.8
season	15.4	14.5		106.8	108.2
opponent	15.5	14.9		99.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.2	15.4	16.4	16.4	16.1
SEA	13.6	15.3	11.7	17.9	14.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	0%	69%	27%	4.5%	0.0%	51.1%	47.2%	33.3%
SEA	0%	69%	30%	1.4%	0.0%	52.0%	47.6%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	8	75%	6	42%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	5	30%	7	57%	2	50%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	15	57%	1	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	5	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	5	60%	3	67%	1	0%
Monique Currie	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	46	51%	18	47%	3	33%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	12	71%	5	40%	1	100%
Sue Bird	0	0%	6	25%	1	150%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	5	80%	4	50%	0	0%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0	0%	1	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	15	63%	6	33%	0	0%
Courtney Paris	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	5	40%	3	33%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	49	52%	21	48%	1	100%