WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	74		Excitement	7.4 [47]		MVP	Angel McCoughtry (ATL): +59.3%
Atlanta Dream	76		Comeback	11.5 [11]		LVP	Imani McGee-Stafford (ATL): -9.6%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lynetta Kizer	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	5	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Whalen	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	42%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Seimone Augustus	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rebekkah Brunson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	62%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Alexis Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maya Moore	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	19	47%	0.11	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Danielle Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	2	67%	0.06	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Tanisha Wright	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sylvia Fowles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	11	50%	0.11	4	-0.19	4	75%	-0.00

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Angel McCoughtry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,0.59	0.59	0.08	0.53	0.01	14	56%	0.67	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	-0.01	-0.02	12	62%	0.19	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.02	7	53%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Renee Montgomery	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.15	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monique Billings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Maggie Lucas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Breland	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	8	50%	0.06	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Imani McGee-Stafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ATL	WNBA	MIN	ATL	WNBA
this game	16.2	12.9	14.9	91.4	91.6	102.8
season	15.8	14.6		100.3	99.6
opponent	14.7	14.7		98.0	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.5	14.9	15.2	17.6	16.2
ATL	12.2	13.0	14.0	12.6	12.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	0%	84%	13%	2.9%	0.0%	47.4%	61.1%	0.0%
ATL	0%	80%	18%	1.7%	0.0%	49.0%	45.5%	150.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Lynetta Kizer	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Whalen	0	0%	6	42%	3	33%	0	0%
Seimone Augustus	0	0%	11	55%	1	0%	0	0%
Rebekkah Brunson	0	0%	4	62%	1	100%	1	0%
Alexis Jones	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Maya Moore	0	0%	16	47%	2	75%	1	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Tanisha Wright	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	9	33%	2	100%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	57	47%	9	61%	2	0%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Angel McCoughtry	0	0%	9	44%	4	50%	1	150%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	9	67%	3	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	7	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	6	58%	0	0%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	2	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	7	43%	1	0%	0	0%
Maggie Lucas	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	6	33%	2	100%	0	0%
Imani McGee-Stafford	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	48	49%	11	45%	1	150%