WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	91		Excitement	8.6 [18]		MVP	Allie Quigley (CHI): +34.2%
Seattle Storm	95		Comeback	155.2 [1]		LVP	Jamierra Faulkner (CHI): -14.7%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allie Quigley	0.34	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.20	0.11	-0.03	12	77%	0.38	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.04
Diamond DeShields	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	14	59%	0.23	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Cheyenne Parker	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.03	6	57%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stefanie Dolson	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	6	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gabby Williams	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Alex Montgomery	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.04,-0.04	0.09	-0.11	0.02	11	55%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chelsea Hopkins	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alaina Coates	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamierra Faulkner	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.15	-0.01	-0.15	-0.01	14	50%	0.04	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.14	0.19	-0.00	12	67%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.49,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.21	0.10	-0.00	21	57%	0.35	1	-0.04	9	100%	0.06
Breanna Stewart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.2,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.10	0.04	22	52%	0.23	2	-0.07	10	70%	-0.03
Crystal Langhorne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Paris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	1	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	9	48%	0.01	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	6	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sue Bird	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.08	0.03	6	33%	-0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SEA	WNBA	CHI	SEA	WNBA
this game	15.3	15.4	14.9	102.2	109.2	102.8
season	14.6	14.5		101.1	108.2
opponent	15.5	14.8		99.6	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.8	13.4	14.6	18.1	15.3
SEA	18.4	14.5	14.0	13.0	15.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	12%	71%	14%	2.7%	22.2%	64.4%	40.0%	0.0%
SEA	9%	68%	20%	3.7%	42.9%	50.0%	31.2%	33.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Allie Quigley	1	0%	11	82%	0	0%	0	0%
Diamond DeShields	1	0%	9	61%	3	67%	1	0%
Cheyenne Parker	3	0%	3	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	4	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Gabby Williams	2	50%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Alex Montgomery	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	2	50%	7	71%	2	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Hopkins	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alaina Coates	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jamierra Faulkner	0	0%	10	60%	3	33%	1	0%
Sky	9	22%	52	64%	10	40%	2	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natasha Howard	2	0%	8	87%	1	0%	1	100%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	14	61%	7	21%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	2	50%	12	50%	7	50%	1	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Paris	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	1	100%	7	43%	1	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	6	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sue Bird	2	50%	3	0%	0	0%	1	0%
Storm	7	43%	55	50%	16	31%	3	33%