WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	78		Excitement	8.9 [14]		MVP	Sylvia Fowles (MIN): +35.2%
New York Liberty	72		Comeback	7.5 [50]		LVP	Bria Hartley (NYL): -13.0%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sylvia Fowles	0.35	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.35	0.11	0.25	0.00	5	68%	0.41	1	-0.06	12	75%	0.07
Maya Moore	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.32	0.06	0.25	-0.00	17	54%	0.45	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Seimone Augustus	0.31	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.31,0.31	0.18	0.13	0.00	14	70%	0.33	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Danielle Robinson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.06	0.02	10	54%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.06
Tanisha Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Temi Fagbenle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rebekkah Brunson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	5	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lindsay Whalen	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	4	10%	-0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Lynetta Kizer	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	8	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tina Charles	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.19	-0.00	16	51%	0.33	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Kia Nurse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.24,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.00	12	52%	0.20	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Shavonte Zellous	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	8	37%	0.08	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.05
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kiah Stokes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mercedes Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marissa Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amanda Zahui B	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bria Hartley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	10	20%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYL	WNBA	MIN	NYL	WNBA
this game	15.6	15.4	14.9	98.7	94.7	102.8
season	15.8	14.6		100.3	96.9
opponent	15.4	14.7		105.1	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.0	17.4	18.2	13.2	15.6
NYL	15.2	16.8	15.0	14.7	15.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	0%	70%	26%	4.3%	0.0%	39.6%	47.2%	50.0%
NYL	0%	74%	22%	4.2%	0.0%	43.4%	34.4%	33.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	3	67%	2	50%	0	0%
Maya Moore	0	0%	13	54%	2	0%	2	75%
Seimone Augustus	0	0%	9	56%	5	90%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	9	44%	1	100%	0	0%
Tanisha Wright	0	0%	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Temi Fagbenle	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alexis Jones	0	0%	1	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Rebekkah Brunson	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	1	0%
Lindsay Whalen	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Lynetta Kizer	0	0%	6	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	48	40%	18	47%	3	50%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tina Charles	0	0%	13	58%	2	0%	1	100%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	10	40%	1	150%	1	0%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	3	0%	4	50%	1	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	4	62%	3	33%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	8	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	4	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	8	25%	2	0%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	53	43%	16	34%	3	33%