WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	70		Excitement	7.7 [39]		MVP	Ariel Atkins (WAS): +35.3%
Washington Mystics	75		Comeback	9.0 [149]		LVP	Tierra Ruffin-Pratt (WAS): -11.8%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nia Coffey	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18	-0.00	0.16	-0.02	12	48%	0.29	3	-0.12	5	40%	-0.04
A'ja Wilson	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.15,0.07,-0.02,0.17	0.02	0.11	-0.04	16	40%	0.19	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.02
Tamera Young	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.08	-0.02	11	52%	0.25	4	-0.18	3	100%	0.03
Kelsey Bone	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaime Nared	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Raigyne Louis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Carolyn Swords	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	-0.04	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shoni Schimmel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Allen	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	10	38%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.03
JiSu Park	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.33,0.44,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.10	0.23	-0.02	10	75%	0.54	3	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.33	0.33	0.03	0.26	-0.04	6	54%	0.36	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.17	0.14	0.03	10	77%	0.30	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.04	0.01	18	53%	0.12	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Kristi Toliver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.09	0.12	-0.04	10	38%	0.19	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Krystal Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Monique Currie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	WAS	WNBA	LVA	WAS	WNBA
this game	14.1	13.3	14.9	80.5	85.2	102.8
season	14.0	15.4		101.3	106.8
opponent	14.9	15.0		102.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	12.4	14.4	15.3	14.2	14.1
WAS	15.4	12.3	12.6	13.1	13.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	1%	76%	19%	2.8%	0.0%	35.5%	57.1%	50.0%
WAS	0%	72%	25%	3.0%	0.0%	32.3%	85.3%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	9	33%	2	100%	1	100%
A'ja Wilson	1	0%	11	36%	3	67%	1	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	7	29%	4	75%	0	0%
Kelsey Bone	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jaime Nared	0	0%	7	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Raigyne Louis	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Shoni Schimmel	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	7	43%	3	33%	0	0%
JiSu Park	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aces	1	0%	55	35%	14	57%	2	50%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	5	20%	5	130%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	3	0%	2	100%	1	100%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	6	58%	4	100%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	14	54%	4	25%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	7	21%	2	50%	1	100%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Krystal Thomas	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Currie	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	48	32%	17	85%	2	100%