WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	77		Excitement	8.7 [17]		MVP	Lindsay Whalen (MIN): +85.5%
Minnesota Lynx	76		Comeback	3.1 [29]		LVP	Maya Moore (MIN): -24.5%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chelsea Gray	0.82	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.82	0.04	0.75	-0.03	16	50%	0.91	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Odyssey Sims	0.37	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.37	0.11	0.23	-0.03	14	54%	0.44	2	-0.07	11	73%	-0.03
Nneka Ogwumike	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.09	-0.01	15	58%	0.25	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Cappie Pondexter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Karlie Samuelson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	6	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Essence Carson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Riquna Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alana Beard	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsay Whalen	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.86	0.86	0.14	0.69	-0.02	8	74%	0.89	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.16
Rebekkah Brunson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	6	94%	0.28	4	-0.16	4	100%	0.04
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.07	0.00	10	65%	0.34	6	-0.27	3	100%	0.06
Temi Fagbenle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tanisha Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lynetta Kizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alexis Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Seimone Augustus	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Danielle Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Maya Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	14	34%	-0.07	4	-0.17	4	75%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	MIN	WNBA	LAS	MIN	WNBA
this game	15.7	13.4	14.9	95.1	90.5	102.8
season	16.4	15.8		100.4	100.3
opponent	14.7	14.4		99.8	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	13.4	17.6	13.8	18.2	15.7
MIN	15.6	13.9	12.3	11.8	13.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	0%	81%	17%	2.8%	0.0%	37.9%	54.2%	100.0%
MIN	0%	82%	18%	0.0%	0.0%	47.8%	70.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	12	33%	3	67%	1	100%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	10	45%	3	33%	1	100%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	12	50%	3	83%	0	0%
Cappie Pondexter	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Karlie Samuelson	0	0%	6	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Essence Carson	0	0%	11	45%	0	0%	0	0%
Riquna Williams	0	0%	4	25%	2	50%	0	0%
Alana Beard	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	58	38%	12	54%	2	100%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Lindsay Whalen	0	0%	5	70%	3	67%	0	0%
Rebekkah Brunson	0	0%	5	90%	1	100%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	8	50%	2	100%	0	0%
Temi Fagbenle	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Tanisha Wright	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynetta Kizer	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alexis Jones	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Seimone Augustus	0	0%	3	33%	3	67%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Maya Moore	0	0%	13	31%	1	0%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	45	48%	10	70%	0	0%