WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	85		Excitement	8.9 [10]		MVP	Breanna Stewart (SEA): +38.5%
Chicago Sky	80		Comeback	18.2 [9]		LVP	Stefanie Dolson (CHI): -22.8%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Breanna Stewart	0.39	0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.26,0.39	0.19	0.21	0.02	17	63%	0.46	2	-0.08	12	83%	0.04
Jewell Loyd	0.28	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.26	0.07	0.05	16	68%	0.28	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Crystal Langhorne	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.00	10	57%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Carolyn Swords	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	6	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.02
Ramu Tokashiki	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Peterson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sami Whitcomb	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	8	11%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	8	25%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Noelle Quinn	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2	-0.05	-0.12	0.03	2	43%	-0.05	2	-0.15	3	100%	0.01

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.20	0.02	0.02	11	75%	0.24	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hooper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	5	80%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allie Quigley	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	15	50%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Adut Bulgak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	4	40%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Amber Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cappie Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.09	-0.04	8	41%	-0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.10	-0.00	9	68%	0.15	5	-0.22	4	100%	0.02
Jessica Breland	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	9	30%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.14	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CHI	WNBA	SEA	CHI	WNBA
this game	14.8	13.1	15.1	100.0	92.0	100.8
season	14.8	14.5		103.3	98.3
opponent	14.8	15.8		104.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.4	15.8	14.1	14.1	14.8
CHI	13.2	15.8	12.6	11.3	13.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	0%	66%	31%	2.8%	0.0%	45.7%	36.4%	50.0%
CHI	0%	67%	27%	5.7%	0.0%	55.3%	44.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	11	50%	5	60%	1	100%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	8	75%	8	50%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	8	62%	1	0%	1	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	3	67%	3	33%	0	0%
Ramu Tokashiki	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alexis Peterson	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	4	0%	4	0%	0	0%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0	0%	8	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	47	46%	22	36%	2	50%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	8	75%	3	67%	0	0%
Jordan Hooper	0	0%	3	83%	2	75%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	9	56%	5	40%	1	0%
Adut Bulgak	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Amber Harris	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Cappie Pondexter	0	0%	4	50%	3	33%	1	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	5	70%	3	67%	1	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	7	29%	1	0%	1	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	5	60%	2	0%	0	0%
Sky	0	0%	47	55%	19	45%	4	0%