WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	106		Excitement	11.8 [3]		MVP	Elena Delle Donne (WAS): +68.1%
Washington Mystics	110		Comeback	5.2 [53]		LVP	Kristi Toliver (WAS): -31.8%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alysha Clark	0.57	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57	0.22	0.35	0.00	13	77%	0.57	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sue Bird	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.34	0.25	0.10	0.01	9	83%	0.34	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Carolyn Swords	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.09	0.00	5	100%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Crystal Langhorne	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2	0.11	0.09	-0.00	10	60%	0.23	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Noelle Quinn	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sami Whitcomb	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	3	75%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.01
Ramu Tokashiki	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	14	37%	0.06	4	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01
Jewell Loyd	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02,-0.16,-0.07,-0.13,-0.2,-0.09,-0.13	0.13	-0.23	0.02	13	61%	0.03	2	-0.16	5	100%	0.02

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.68	0.68	0.37	0.32	0.01	18	82%	0.88	3	-0.20	9	100%	0.08
Emma Meesseman	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.51,0.52	0.52	0.22	0.35	0.06	17	71%	0.58	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.03
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.46	0.46	0.11	0.34	0.00	5	90%	0.46	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Krystal Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.00	6	50%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allison Hightower	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ivory Latta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	4	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kristi Toliver	0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.36,-0.32	-0.32	-0.01	-0.28	0.03	13	43%	-0.25	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.05

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	WAS	WNBA	SEA	WAS	WNBA
this game	14.4	15.9	15.1	120.5	122.2	100.8
season	14.8	15.6		103.3	103.7
opponent	15.1	15.8		103.4	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.3	14.5	14.7	16.4	14.4
WAS	16.7	14.7	17.6	17.9	15.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	0%	63%	28%	9.3%	0.0%	60.6%	61.9%	28.6%
WAS	0%	62%	33%	5.1%	0.0%	58.3%	59.6%	62.5%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	7	79%	5	70%	1	100%
Sue Bird	0	0%	8	87%	1	0%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	3	100%	2	100%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	6	50%	2	50%	2	50%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	1	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	2	50%	1	150%	0	0%
Ramu Tokashiki	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0	0%	4	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	9	39%	4	25%	1	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	6	75%	4	62%	3	0%
Storm	0	0%	47	61%	21	62%	7	29%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	13	69%	5	100%	0	0%
Emma Meesseman	0	0%	12	58%	5	100%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	3	67%	1	100%	1	150%
Krystal Thomas	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	1	100%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Allison Hightower	0	0%	1	0%	10	45%	0	0%
Ivory Latta	0	0%	2	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	8	62%	3	0%	2	0%
Mystics	0	0%	48	58%	26	60%	4	62%