WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	99		Excitement	6.9 [65]		MVP	Glory Johnson (DAL): +28.5%
Chicago Sky	96		Comeback	5.2 [28]		LVP	Karima Christmas-Kelly (DAL): -9.2%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glory Johnson	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.24	0.07	0.03	16	69%	0.29	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0.13	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.13	0.07	-0.03	-0.09	19	57%	0.35	6	-0.21	11	91%	-0.01
Kayla Thornton	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.01	4	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Paris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kaela Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aerial Powers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Allisha Gray	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	14	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theresa Plaisance	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Karima Christmas-Kelly	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	0.03	5	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.05

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jessica Breland	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.21	0.06	0.01	15	69%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allie Quigley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.21	0.21	0.22	-0.00	0.00	15	76%	0.25	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	12	81%	0.24	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Cappie Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.10	-0.01	5	62%	0.22	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.06
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0	-0.00	0.10	-0.09	0.02	11	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bashaara Graves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hooper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHI	WNBA	DAL	CHI	WNBA
this game	15.4	13.7	15.1	119.3	117.1	100.8
season	14.8	14.5		102.7	98.3
opponent	14.8	14.4		104.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.6	14.1	12.0	23.8	15.4
CHI	14.4	12.6	16.0	11.5	13.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	4%	90%	6%	0.0%	0.0%	51.3%	20.0%	0.0%
CHI	1%	90%	4%	4.4%	100.0%	64.8%	33.3%	33.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Glory Johnson	0	0%	16	72%	0	0%	0	0%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	1	0%	15	60%	3	0%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	1	0%	3	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Paris	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaela Davis	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	7	29%	0	0%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	1	0%	13	35%	0	0%	0	0%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	10	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Karima Christmas-Kelly	0	0%	3	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Wings	3	0%	75	51%	5	20%	0	0%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	14	64%	1	100%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	13	85%	1	0%	1	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	12	79%	0	0%	0	0%
Cappie Pondexter	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	1	100%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	5	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	1	100%	9	61%	0	0%	1	0%
Bashaara Graves	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordan Hooper	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Sky	1	100%	61	65%	3	33%	3	33%