WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	75		Excitement	8.8 [13]		MVP	Jewell Loyd (SEA): +73.2%
Seattle Storm	71		Comeback	2.6 [63]		LVP	Emma Cannon (PHO): -15.7%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leilani Mitchell	0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.5	0.10	0.38	-0.02	7	61%	0.50	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Brittney Griner	0.47	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.47,0.47	0.17	0.30	-0.00	20	60%	0.55	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.05
Diana Taurasi	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.2	0.09	0.11	-0.00	13	58%	0.33	3	-0.13	5	100%	0.03
Danielle Robinson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.01	2	50%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Camille Little	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	2	75%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cayla George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monique Currie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yvonne Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emma Cannon	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	0.03	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jewell Loyd	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.38,0.76,0.73	0.73	0.27	0.46	-0.01	22	62%	0.73	0	0.00	9	89%	0.09
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sue Bird	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	10	45%	0.19	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.03
Carolyn Swords	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ramu Tokashiki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	48%	0.09	3	-0.11	9	67%	-0.08
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Noelle Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Crystal Langhorne	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	9	33%	0.05	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.04
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	SEA	WNBA	PHO	SEA	WNBA
this game	16.9	14.9	15.1	98.7	94.7	100.8
season	14.8	14.8		101.4	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.3		104.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	18.0	16.8	15.6	17.4	16.9
SEA	15.4	14.8	14.4	15.0	14.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	0%	73%	21%	6.3%	0.0%	35.9%	61.5%	100.0%
SEA	0%	78%	20%	1.7%	0.0%	38.3%	66.7%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	3	100%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	14	57%	5	60%	1	100%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	11	45%	2	75%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Cayla George	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Currie	0	0%	6	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Yvonne Turner	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Emma Cannon	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercury	0	0%	46	36%	13	62%	4	100%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	14	54%	7	57%	1	100%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	9	28%	1	150%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Ramu Tokashiki	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	8	25%	1	150%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	8	25%	1	100%	0	0%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0	0%	2	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	47	38%	12	67%	1	100%