WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	83		Excitement	7.4 [49]		MVP	Elena Delle Donne (WAS): +33.9%
Washington Mystics	78		Comeback	3.9 [33]		LVP	Kristi Toliver (WAS): -25.0%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karima Christmas-Kelly	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.26	0.05	0.19	-0.02	7	60%	0.30	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	15	51%	0.19	3	-0.11	9	78%	0.04
Courtney Paris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.00	4	40%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Allisha Gray	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kayla Thornton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	6	44%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Aerial Powers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	58%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Kaela Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.11	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Theresa Plaisance	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Glory Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	9	45%	0.04	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.26	0.13	0.05	18	64%	0.39	1	-0.06	9	89%	0.04
Emma Meesseman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.07	-0.01	17	61%	0.28	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Asia Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Krystal Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Allison Hightower	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	29%	-0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Ivory Latta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.14	0.01	5	43%	-0.05	2	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Kristi Toliver	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.17	-0.01	4	30%	-0.11	3	-0.14	2	0%	-0.16

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	WAS	WNBA	DAL	WAS	WNBA
this game	15.0	15.2	15.1	105.1	97.5	100.8
season	14.8	15.6		102.7	103.7
opponent	15.1	14.4		103.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.9	16.4	14.5	15.3	15.0
WAS	15.3	13.6	17.1	14.7	15.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	0%	81%	17%	1.6%	0.0%	47.1%	54.5%	100.0%
WAS	3%	76%	21%	0.0%	75.0%	44.0%	42.9%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Karima Christmas-Kelly	0	0%	5	40%	1	100%	1	100%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	13	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Courtney Paris	0	0%	3	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	4	25%	2	50%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaela Davis	0	0%	3	50%	2	100%	0	0%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Glory Johnson	0	0%	6	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Wings	0	0%	51	47%	11	55%	1	100%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elena Delle Donne	1	150%	11	59%	6	42%	0	0%
Emma Meesseman	1	0%	13	62%	3	83%	0	0%
Asia Taylor	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Krystal Thomas	0	0%	6	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Allison Hightower	0	0%	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	9	22%	0	0%	0	0%
Ivory Latta	0	0%	3	33%	2	0%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	3	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Mystics	2	75%	50	44%	14	43%	0	0%