WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	74		Excitement	8.3 [25]		MVP	Erica Wheeler (IND): +25.2%
Atlanta Dream	79		Comeback	15.8 [36]		LVP	Sancho Lyttle (ATL): -18.4%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erica Wheeler	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.25	0.12	0.14	0.01	21	53%	0.36	2	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Jazmon Gwathmey	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	-0.02	-0.04	14	53%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marissa Coleman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	54%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Erlana Larkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Natalie Achonwa	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.03	0.01	0.03	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jennie Simms	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erica McCall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Candice Dupree	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	20	33%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.09	0.16	-0.00	14	60%	0.39	4	-0.14	12	92%	0.08
Brittney Sykes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.00	0.24	-0.00	17	40%	0.31	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Bria Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.01	3	78%	0.17	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Tamera Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	12	58%	0.24	4	-0.23	2	50%	-0.01
Damiris Dantas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matee Ajavon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	13	32%	-0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sancho Lyttle	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.13	0.04	3	40%	-0.10	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	WNBA	IND	ATL	WNBA
this game	17.5	15.1	15.1	89.2	95.2	100.8
season	15.8	14.8		95.9	96.2
opponent	14.7	15.0		99.7	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.6	17.1	15.8	20.7	17.5
ATL	14.2	14.5	14.1	16.8	15.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	1%	63%	34%	1.3%	100.0%	47.9%	28.8%	150.0%
ATL	0%	69%	30%	1.4%	0.0%	40.6%	38.1%	150.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	12	54%	8	44%	1	150%
Jazmon Gwathmey	0	0%	10	65%	4	25%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	3	33%	2	50%	0	0%
Erlana Larkins	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	1	100%	2	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Jennie Simms	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica McCall	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga	0	0%	1	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	13	38%	7	14%	0	0%
Fever	1	100%	48	48%	26	29%	1	150%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	9	50%	5	40%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	10	20%	6	42%	1	150%
Bria Holmes	0	0%	2	100%	1	150%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	10	50%	2	100%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Matee Ajavon	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	9	44%	4	0%	0	0%
Sancho Lyttle	0	0%	1	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	48	41%	21	38%	1	150%