WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	83		Excitement	8.2 [26]		MVP	Layshia Clarendon (ATL): +29.4%
Atlanta Dream	89		Comeback	2.9 [45]		LVP	Elizabeth Williams (ATL): -9.7%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.05	0.02	8	71%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Carolyn Swords	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.06	-0.03	2	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.01	10	58%	0.23	3	-0.14	11	73%	0.01
Alysha Clark	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Crystal Langhorne	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.04	0.01	9	77%	0.23	3	-0.17	4	75%	-0.04
Alexis Peterson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sue Bird	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0	0.11	-0.06	0.04	11	68%	0.16	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Sami Whitcomb	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0.03,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	12	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.15	0.14	0.00	10	74%	0.35	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.05
Sancho Lyttle	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.20	0.10	0.03	10	82%	0.28	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.16	0.00	12	50%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	10	68%	0.19	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.00
Bria Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Imani Boyette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	43%	0.06	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.05
Damiris Dantas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matee Ajavon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	1	33%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.11	0.01	10	60%	0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	ATL	WNBA	SEA	ATL	WNBA
this game	15.2	15.0	15.1	105.1	111.2	100.8
season	14.8	14.8		103.3	96.2
opponent	14.7	15.8		99.7	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.9	15.2	15.7	13.2	15.2
ATL	14.0	17.3	15.1	14.1	15.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	3%	69%	25%	3.1%	75.0%	56.7%	46.9%	50.0%
ATL	0%	63%	33%	3.2%	0.0%	65.0%	47.6%	125.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0	0%	6	75%	2	50%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	7	57%	3	33%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	2	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	8	75%	1	100%	0	0%
Alexis Peterson	0	0%	4	62%	3	33%	0	0%
Sue Bird	2	75%	8	56%	1	150%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	9	33%	1	0%	2	50%
Storm	2	75%	45	57%	16	47%	2	50%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	7	93%	2	0%	1	100%
Sancho Lyttle	0	0%	7	71%	3	100%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	7	43%	4	25%	1	150%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	6	58%	4	75%	0	0%
Bria Holmes	0	0%	2	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Imani Boyette	0	0%	1	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	2	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Matee Ajavon	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	7	86%	3	0%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	40	65%	21	48%	2	125%